Australian economy ‘finely poised’ as borrowers feel impact of ‘unnecessary’ rate rises
The latest Deloitte Access Economics report predicts growth to slow to lowest levels since the recession of the early 1990s
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The past two interest rate rises by the RBA were unnecessary, a new report released by Deloitte Access Economics today has said.
Lead author and Deloitte Access Economics Partner Stephen Smith said in the business outlook report that the Australian economy is now ‘finely poised’ as economic growth slows to a trickle this year, the weakest since the recession of the early 1990s, outside pandemic conditions.
“Our view remains unchanged – the additional 50 basis points of increases earlier this year were unnecessary, and have prompted a further downgrade in Australia’s growth outlook,” Smith said. “That downgrade is centred on our households, and a ‘consumer recession’ is now forecast in 2023, with household spending expected to finish the year below where it started.”
While he said many mortgage holders were in a position to weather the interest rate rises, which will mean an increase in payments of $14,000 for a $600,000 when lenders pass on the full increases, a significant group were not. He said as many as 15 percent of variable rate, owner-occupier mortgage holders could be in negative cash flow by the end of 2023.
“On these numbers, at least 300,000 Australian households may currently be experiencing negative cash flow, with mortgage repayments and essential living expenses together exceeding household disposable income,” Smith said. “That should shock all of us.”
Smith said the pressures on the construction will also continue to impact the rental market, with commencement on new dwellings expected to be the lowest in a decade.
“Construction is expected to commence on significantly fewer houses and apartments compared to previous years – in fact, Deloitte Access Economics expects that 2023 will see construction commence on the fewest dwellings in more than a decade and almost 70,000 below the level commencements recorded in 2021,” Smith said.
“On these numbers, new housing supply would just barely keep pace with population growth, let alone ease what is a critical undersupply. In short, we are building far too few dwellings and, with a myriad of supply side challenges unresolved, that is unlikely to change in the near term.”
Deloitte Access Economics has revised expectations for economic growth down to 1.5 percent for this year and just 1.2 percent for 2024.
Chris Dixon, a partner who led the charge, says he has a ‘very long-term horizon’
Americans now think they need at least $1.25 million for retirement, a 20% increase from a year ago, according to a survey by Northwestern Mutual
The G80 Sport makes its entrance, displaying dynamic design details and elevated automative capabilities.
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Juma Al Majid LLC, the exclusive dealer for Genesis in the UAE, has launched the G80 – a cutting-edge luxury sedan. Merging tradition with innovation, this model embodies Genesis‘ relentless pursuit of superior design, state-of-the-art technology, and unmatched luxury.
The new G80 marks a significant milestone in introducing Korean automotive excellence to the UAE, highlighting the brand’s commitment to providing exceptional experiences.
Meticulously crafted, the redesigned G80 adheres to the ‘Athletic Elegance’ design philosophy synonymous with Genesis. This luxury vehicle features refined details and cutting-edge specifications, combining comfort and style to elevate every driving experience to new heights.
“The debut of the all-new G80 in the UAE market propels our vision to converge advanced technology and refined elegance”, stated Suliman Al Zaben, Director of Genesis, UAE. “This launch is a step forward for Genesis in the UAE market and strengthens our efforts to offer ultimate luxury, innovation, and unique design to our incisive customer base.”
With a new dual-mesh design, the G80’s exterior enhances the sophisticated appearance of the Two-Line Crest Grille, paired with iconic Two-Line headlamps featuring Micro Lens Array (MLA) technology. This highlights Genesis’ commitment to harmonizing advanced technology with elegant design. The five 20-inch double-spoke wheels exude a dynamic aesthetic, resembling sleek aircraft lines, complementing the car’s parabolic side profile. Rear diffusers conceal mufflers adorned with distinctive V-shaped chrome trim inspired by the Crest Grille, embodying an eco-conscious ethos in today’s technology-driven era.
The G80 reinforces Genesis’ design philosophy in its interiors, inspired by the uniquely Korean concept of the Beauty of White Space, integrated with state-of-the-art technology to create cosmetic brilliance for users. The 27-inch-wide OLED display seamlessly combines the cluster and AVN (Audio, Video, Navigation) screen in a horizontal layout, extending to the center fascia, showcasing its flair for innovative technology. The touch-based HVAC (Heating, Ventilation, and Air Conditioning) system offers ease of control, while the redesigned crystal-like Shift By Wire (SBW) ensures a comfortable grip, infusing a sense of luxurious convenience.
With its dual-layered Crest Grille and expanded air intakes, the G80 Sport package delivers a dynamic and sporty spirit. Exclusive interior options, such as a D-cut steering wheel and carbon accents, enhance its sporty allure. Equipped with Rear Wheel Steering (RWS) and Electronic Limited Slip Differential (E-LSD), the G80 Sport 3.5 twin turbo model is built for stable control during high-speed maneuvers.
Fitted with advanced safety and convenience features, this luxury sedan includes Remote Smart Parking Assist 2, Lane Following Assist 2, and a Fingerprint Authentication System. The three-zone HVAC system provides customized climate control for all passengers. With two powertrain options – a 2.5 turbo engine delivering 300 horsepower and 43.0 kgf·m of torque, and a 3.5 twin turbo engine producing 375 horsepower and 54.0 kgf·m of torque – superior driving dynamics ensure a silent and luxurious driving experience.
Chris Dixon, a partner who led the charge, says he has a ‘very long-term horizon’
Americans now think they need at least $1.25 million for retirement, a 20% increase from a year ago, according to a survey by Northwestern Mutual
