How AI Will Change the Workplace
We asked some top thinkers from different fields to weigh in on what’s ahead, as the AI explosion compels businesses to rethink, well, almost everything
11 min
Artificial intelligence has been affecting how we work for some time—helping to craft job postings and evaluate applications, judging how efficiently we complete jobs and, for gig workers, determining assignments and pay.
But in the past year, and especially the past six months, generative AI has supercharged the potential of technology to help, hinder or reorient how we work. Visual tools like DALL·E 2 and Midjourney may drastically change graphic design. Large language-model text generation, beginning in earnest with the release of ChatGPT, promises to affect every activity that involves touching a keyboard.
To learn more about how the worlds of work and AI will interact, we spoke with experts in computer science, human resources, recruiting, corporate leadership, psychology and more. Here are some of their predictions.
Automating ideas
AI will continue the current process of automating parts of workers’ jobs. But while today’s automation is often described as applying to dull, dirty and dangerous tasks such as moving parts in a factory or warehouse, generative AI brings a new dynamic: Primarily, it supports knowledge work by providing the ability to create first drafts of documents, emails, presentations, images, video, product designs, etc.
So, knowledge workers might spend more time editing than creating, particularly as generative AI is embedded into all the software products they use today. For instance, instead of an email system just typing ahead a few words, it could draft several paragraphs. Customer-relationship-management software could suggest topics to discuss with a sales prospect and even a script to follow. And a salesperson could describe a presentation in natural language, and draft slides could be created, accessing corporate data and images to fill out details.
But there are some GenAI applications where the potential to have transformative impact really comes to the fore: For example, in research and development, some experiments using generative AI to support writing software code have shown very high levels of increasing productivity. But that doesn’t mean we’ll need a lot fewer software engineers, because the world needs more software. Generative AI also has the potential for improving the productivity of contact centres. There already were technologies that could automate interactions with customers; generative AI has the potential for making these interactions feel much more natural.
—Michael Chui, partner, McKinsey Global Institute
Flatter organisations
Artificial intelligence is likely to flatten many organisations due to its ability to automate work activities. Right now, most organisations have entry-level people who perform routine tasks, midlevel individuals who supervise them and high-level employees who set the direction of the organisation.
That organisational structure will no longer be necessary. AI can automate many of the tasks performed by entry-level workers. Accounting features, purchase orders and job requisitions are already being automated, and workplaces no longer need people who manually compile or analyse information.
As generative AI becomes more widely deployed, even more tasks will be automated. In addition, job supervision and assessment won’t need as much human oversight. Customers can rate employees on how well they perform basic tasks and allow people to get the services they want. Using data analytics and AI, companies can use the responses to weed out low-performing workers and reward their top individuals. The end result will be fewer layers of management and a smaller number of employees overall in the organisation.
—Darrell West, senior fellow, governance studies, Brookings Institution
How human are we? Machines will tell us
In the past, managers turned to software to judge workers on technical matters—counting keystrokes or time away from the screen. Now companies are using machines to judge how much empathy their employees show.
I was recently sent a “management tip of the day,” advice on how to prepare for a job interview conducted by an artificial intelligence—a process that is all too common these days. A good score required that I appear “natural” with the machine, defined as injecting “authenticity and humanity to the interview.” It seemed a through-the-looking-glass request. A machine would be judging me on qualities that only human beings can exhibit.
The AI judgments don’t end with interviews. It is increasingly common for corporations to use AI programs to monitor employee empathy on the job. For instance, in call centres, AI programs coach and score workers on an empathy scale to judge their performance with callers.
With the addition of ChatGPT to a full suite of office products, texts, emails and calls, there is no limit to the interactions that may be judged by pretend-empathy machines. They will pretend to understand jealousy, competition, depression and insecurity, all the messy human feelings that come up in the life of a firm.
When machines test us on how we respond to such human complexities, high scores may go to those who exhibit qualities that machines value most—consistency and a bias toward tidying up what seems messy. Those who don’t stack up may lose their jobs.
It is backward thinking: Technology redefines human empathy as what machines can understand. Having built the machines that will judge us, now we will train ourselves to please the machines.
—Sherry Turkle, author and Abby Rockefeller Mauzé Professor of the Social Studies of Science and Technology, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
A threat to ethics
We are already seeing the rise of digital assistants that speak with a human voice and can use human appearance and social intelligence to negotiate disputes, brainstorm business strategies or conduct interviews. But our research illustrates that people may act less ethically when collaborating via AI.
Traditionally, teammates establish emotional bonds, show concern for each other’s goals and call out their colleagues for transgressions. But these social checks on ethical behaviour weaken when people interact indirectly through virtual assistants. Instead, interactions become more transactional and self-interested.
For instance, in typical face-to-face negotiations, most people follow norms of fairness and politeness. They feel guilt when taking advantage of their partner. But the dynamic changes when people use an AI to craft responses and strategies: In these situations, we found, people are more likely to instruct an AI assistant to use deception and emotional manipulation to extract unfair deals when negotiating on their behalf.
Understanding these ethics risks will become an active focus of business policy and AI research.
—Jonathan Gratch, professor of computer science, University of Southern California
An edge for the aged
AI will enable older workers to be seen, even by those with ageist eyes, as young again.
Younger adults tend to excel at work that uses fluid intelligence that involves analysis and solving discrete problems quickly. Older workers are thought to exhibit greater crystallised intelligence—the capacity to leverage experience and knowledge gained over years to quickly see patterns, nuance and emotional insights, and the capacity to determine which problems should be addressed and which are just noise.
AI is likely to provide a kind of augmented intelligence to older workers, enabling experienced professionals to fully leverage their talent and skills.
For example, AI will be an invaluable collaborator with physicians, speeding the collection and organisation of critical information such as patient symptom history, genetic profiles, medication interactions, as well as past successful treatment plans for similar conditions, etc. These systems will enable physicians of all ages to gather information quickly, but older doctors will be better equipped to apply their years of experience and knowledge to validate AI diagnoses and treatment recommendations.
AI will be more than a collaborative assistant to older workers. It will also be a valuable coach. The sheer growth and velocity of knowledge and technology is making training and upskilling essential. Unfortunately, many employers don’t invest in older-worker education. Now AI applications are being deployed in workplace education to address individual learning and knowledge gaps, helping older workers remain current and competitive.
—Joseph F. Coughlin, director of AgeLab, Massachusetts Institute of Technology
Navigating new tech
Today, most organisations suffer from a “digital dexterity gap,” where the workforce is largely unable to keep pace with fast-changing technology. Organisations have more technology than their employees are comfortable using, creating barriers to efficiency and productivity growth.
AI services strip away complexity. By using conversational interfaces and natural-language processing, AI removes the need for workers to master complex computer functions and menus. People simply describe what is needed, in nontechnical language, and refine their requests to get better output.
An employee, for example, could give an AI historical data and say, “Find and rank all the variables that will determine the market potential for this new product.” Before conversational interfaces were developed, getting the information would require a lengthy and complex series of interactions.
—Matt Cain, vice president and distinguished analyst, Gartner
An opportunity for building talent
As AI takes over routine tasks, there will be a temptation to cut the whole tier of entry-level employees: Summarising documents, answering routine emails, writing basic computer code and solving simple logistical challenges are all tasks that AIs can do about as well as an inexperienced human, and at much lower cost.
But employers still need an on ramp for new hires. If you stop hiring entry-level employees, you’ll have to do all your midlevel hiring from outside the organisation. And if every organization pares back on entry-level hires, it will get harder and harder to find experienced midcareer talent anywhere.
That’s why it pays to cultivate your own long-term talent pool by hiring green employees, but rethinking how they are tasked and trained. Instead of piling your juniors with grunt work and trusting that they’ll learn through observation, assign them more challenging tasks, like drafting reports instead of just summarising them—the explosion in AI research and writing tools means that kind of work is now well within the grasp of inexperienced hires. With more active coaching and mentoring, these green employees can grow into valuable colleagues, much more quickly.
—Alexandra Samuel, digital-workplace speaker and co-author of “Remote, Inc.”
The danger of following blindly
So many jobs involve writing standard responses—thank-you notes to customers, responses to job applicants and unfortunately term papers—that AI is instantly and easily used in almost every white-collar role.
The concern isn’t that the responses produced aren’t original or creative. How creative does a performance appraisal need to be? It is that if ChatGPT writes the report, the “author” hasn’t thought about it, hasn’t weighed the arguments and then come to their own conclusions in the text. They cannot explain to someone why the report says what it does, but they now have to live with its conclusions.
What happens when the ChatGPT report fails to include proprietary information that you could have found if you searched yourself, and it changes the conclusions? How do we explain to a subordinate why the appraisal written by ChatGPT gave them a lower score compared with last year, even though their performance seemed to be the same? The temptation to use it without thinking through the arguments and explanations could lead to big mistakes.
—Peter Cappelli and Sonny Tambe, professor and associate professor, Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania
Big-picture thinking
Workers are already using ChatGPT to craft the perfect Facebook ad or tools like Descript to edit videos, but AI will get incorporated in more upstream work. AI will be in the boardroom, brainstorming sessions and planning meetings.
Imagine an AI system that runs global simulations and impact analyses for 5,000 different budget plans. Or an AI that proactively writes new code for you when it discovers that you have a bottleneck in your sales planning. Or a proxy AI trained on customer research that allows you to have simulated conversations with your target market. We’re moving from task-oriented AI to goal-oriented AI, and enterprises are looking to leverage it safely, securely and ethically.
—Allie K. Miller, AI entrepreneur, adviser and investor
Money management and the human touch
Many asset-management companies are now offering hybrid advisory services—involving both human advisers and algorithms—to their clients. But these new services are unlikely to reduce the demand for human advisers.
Instead, automation is expanding the market for financial advisers by making it more cost effective to serve clients with lower levels of wealth. Human advisers can now cater to more clients, since certain tasks, such as addressing simple customer queries and constructing portfolios, can be automated. As a result, asset managers are now hiring more human advisers instead of laying them off.
In addition, the requirements for a financial adviser’s success are changing. As more portfolio management is turned over to algorithms, technical portfolio-allocation skills are becoming less significant. However, it is becoming more important for advisers to explain how algorithms operate and assist investors in navigating turbulent market conditions. Our research shows that human advisers are still essential for customer satisfaction and retention because of their ability to reduce clients’ discomfort from interacting with algorithms and reducing clients’ uncertainty regarding the algorithms’ performance.
—Alberto Rossi, finance professor and director of the AI, Analytics and Future of Work Initiative, Georgetown University
Navigating the corporate-benefits maze
AI-powered “concierge” systems will reduce or eliminate the frustrating search for answers that many employees endure today when seeking services from their employer. These systems will help employees make the most of their benefits, stay compliant with policies or simply find out information about their colleagues, organisation structure or customers that can sometimes be difficult to unearth in large organisations. When do my health benefits renew? What is my current deductible? What is the policy for meal expenses in New York?
What’s more, in the hybrid work environment, AI-driven concierge tools will book conference rooms, optimise the location of colleagues in the office so they can better collaborate, and help office managers manage capacity and services.
—Joe Atkinson, U.S. chief products and technology officer, PwC
Don’t forget human judgment
At its best, AI will drive better collaboration and productivity. It will help employees turn notes into documents and documents into presentations. Yet human judgment is key to unlocking AI’s power. Our data reveals that only around half of employees believe they know when to question the results of automation or AI—the other half don’t think they have that skill. But generative AI is already known to hallucinate—make up false facts—and employees who blindly follow its outputs risk failing.
So, companies must equip employees with the skills and inclinations needed to successfully use AI. Rather than acting on the AI’s meeting summary alone, employees must understand that talking to human colleagues who attended the meeting isn’t optional. They must also learn to proofread AI-produced text, confirming cited facts with outside sources. And governance structures must ensure that AI-produced content always includes a human in the loop before it is used.
—J.P. Gownder, vice president and principal analyst, Forrester
Machines get into human resources
The emergence of AI tools and data analytics is transforming the way organisations discover, assess and select talent. If trained with the right data, AI models can also compare candidate profiles to a company’s most successful employees, identify professionals with a proven record and determine who is most likely to consider a job change.
For example, for certain roles, high performers’ profiles include a broad range of skills that are relevant to multiple roles, while for other functions, optimal skill sets are much more narrow and specific. Our data indicates that the comparison of a candidate’s skills to those of high performers produces the most predictive indicator of future success, particularly on contract jobs.
Also, AI models can be further enhanced by incorporating individual performance data for employees or contractors who have previous experience with an employer. There is a wealth of such data available to talent solutions firms that employ hundreds of thousands of contractors annually.
Ultimately, though, it is important to think of AI as a tool—not a substitute—for the human art of recruiting. Assessing and selecting talent requires insight about a candidate’s communication skills, attitude and determination level and what it takes to succeed.
—M. Keith Waddell, president and CEO, Robert Half
A productivity boost
Early research suggests that while generative AI is likely to boost the productivity of all workers, it may benefit low-skilled workers more. A randomised field experiment by Microsoft reported that generative AI enabled a 55% decrease in average task-completion time for software developers, with the most benefit for older developers and those with less programming experience. Similarly, a study from MIT reports that ChatGPT’s use in professional writing raises average productivity and quality for low-ability workers more than their high-ability peers.
In an ongoing experimental study with M.B.A. students who were tasked with writing business reports, I found that ChatGPT’s availability not only increased productivity but also student satisfaction. More students expressed a desire to write when a tool like ChatGPT was available. In short, the impact of generative AI might not just be a general increase in productivity but also a narrowing of the productivity gap between low-skilled workers and high-skilled ones.
—Kartik Hosanagar, John C. Hower Professor, Wharton School of the University of Pennsylvania
A tool for hackers
It is the classic email scam: An employee receives a bogus note that appears to be from their manager, telling them to transfer funds to some account. For this to be convincing, the attacker needs to access the company’s computer systems to learn about the firm and the target, including their personal details.
AI makes this scamming much easier—and more dangerous.
By getting access to companies’ internal emails and nonpublic reports, hackers can use AI to generate very convincing messages. For example, the message might start with: “Fred, it was great to have dinner with you and your wife last Wednesday, we should do that again. Meanwhile, I need you to…”
Or how about a phone call or videoconference with your boss? Deep fakes make it possible to imitate the voice and even the image of your manager.
AI may also lead to smaller and smaller targets for scams. If it takes lots of manual labor to create customised spear-phishing emails, it is not worth it for hackers to cheat people out of $100. But if AI makes it trivial and cheap to create phoney emails, no one is too low on the totem pole to be ignored.
All this raises the level of skepticism that we must have substantially. Procedures will have to be put in place to validate the authenticity of who you are dealing with. In many cases, a phone call might be sufficient. A somewhat deeper approach might be a phone call to the boss’ administrative assistant, in addition to a boss—a bit like doing multifactor authentication on the computer. In extreme cases, a face-to-face meeting might be necessary.
—Stuart Madnick, professor of information technologies, MIT Sloan School of Management
Spotting the skill gaps
AI helps organisations build for the future by automatically detecting employee, team and organisation wide skills—and identifying ways to address gaps before management is even aware of them.
For roles like nurses, software developers and marketers, necessary skills are constantly changing, and it can be tough for organisations to keep track of what is needed. Nurses, for instance, must become familiar with an ever-increasing number of tech platforms, as well as data analysis to help patient outcomes.
As these needs evolve, AI can help keep track of what skills organisations need and predict what they might need next. For instance, a business could use AI to scan job descriptions in its industry to look for trends. The AI might notice that lots of marketing jobs now require employees to understand new types of analytics—and your employees must understand them, too, or miss out on important strategic insights.
—Mahe Bayireddi, CEO and co-founder, Phenom
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The UAE’s Ministry of Economy and Tourism and the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA) have signed an MoU to strengthen financial oversight, enhance regulatory cooperation, and support the growth of the financial services sector. The agreement focuses on improving supervision of auditors and non-financial businesses, boosting transparency, and reinforcing efforts to combat financial crime—while further positioning Dubai and the UAE as leading global financial hubs.
Mubadala and Qatar Investment Authority have backed WHOOP in a $575 million funding round that values the wellness firm at $10.1 billion, as investors double down on tech-enabled preventive healthcare. The capital will support global expansion as WHOOP scales its wearable platform focused on real-time health, recovery, and performance tracking.
Dubai’s property market is showing resilience despite regional tensions, with off-plan apartment sales reaching nearly $5 billion in March, up 12.9% year-on-year. Strong demand—particularly in the ultra-luxury segment—continues to position the emirate as a safe-haven for investors, with S&P Global noting that recent reforms and long-term residency initiatives are reinforcing stability even as broader markets face volatility.
Commodities have overtaken crypto as the top asset class among UAE retail investors, with growing exposure to gold and oil amid geopolitical tensions, according to eToro, as investors show strong confidence in price gains and shift toward real assets and energy-linked sectors.
3 min
Against a backdrop of geopolitical turmoil, commodities have now surpassed crypto as the most popular asset class among retail investors based in the UAE, according to the fifth edition of eToro’s UAE Retail Investor Beat.
The survey of 1,000 UAE retail investors points to a preference for gold and oil in particular, in anticipation of higher prices in the next six months.
Commodities become the top choice, surpassing crypto
Commodities have been a hot topic for a while now, especially in the UAE. The survey shows that 56% of local investors are now investing in commodities such as gold and oil, up from 47% in August 2025, the last time eToro conducted its survey. Among all asset classes, commodities recorded the highest jump in holders, whereas crypto, previously the most popular asset class, saw no change in its share of holders (54%).
Commodities are drawing particular interest from local investors amid the current geopolitical climate. Among the 80% of investors who have already adjusted or plan to adjust their portfolios in response to tensions in the Middle East, 56% are buying more precious metals and 43% are buying more energy commodities.
Energy, materials and renewables see stronger interest
Further to this, sector allocations linked to commodities have increased. 40% of investors are currently invested in the energy industry, up from 31% in August 2025. The materials industry also saw a jump from 22% to 27%, while renewables saw a rise from 21% to 25% over the same period. Renewables were named the sector that most investors plan to invest in within three months (41%), as recent volatility in oil and gas prices highlighted the importance of energy diversification.
George Naddaf, Managing Director at eToro (MENA) commented: “UAE retail investors are showing they can read the room and quickly adjust their portfolios in response to evolving macro conditions. With ongoing geopolitical tensions, investors are actively looking for opportunities amidst the volatility in commodities and related sectors. This also aligns with the broader long-term shift towards real assets and exposure to the ‘old economy’ that we are seeing globally.
“Moreover, growing interest in renewables shows that retail investors are not only focused on the immediate picture. In the UAE, where non-oil sectors already contribute more than 70% of GDP, clean energy is part of a much bigger diversification story. Recent disruptions have shown us how exposed global markets can be to energy supply shocks, which is why energy diversification is increasingly being seen as both a strategic priority.”
Gold takes the gold
Among those invested in commodities, nearly half (47%) allocate more than 20% of their portfolio to the asset class. Gold is the most widely held commodity with 88% of commodity investors holding the precious metal, followed by oil at 47%, silver at 41% and natural gas at 29%. Popular agro-commodities include coffee (11%), wheat, cocoa, and sugar (all at 7%).
The survey found that retail investors were largely split between two motivations for holding gold: its role as a long-term store of value, and the expectation that prices may continue to rise – each cited by 53% of respondents.
UAE investors expect oil and gold prices will rise
The survey also shows investors’ bullishness about the top two most popular commodities. 92% of investors think oil prices will rise in the next 6 months, while 84% think gold prices will rise over the same period.
Investors don’t just think prices will rise slightly – almost half (46%) think oil prices will surge more than 15%, while over half (57%) think gold prices will jump more than 10%.
George Naddaf, Managing Director at eToro (MENA), commented: “Gold and oil have experienced notable volatility in recent months, largely influenced by ongoing developments in the Middle East. Both assets carry particular cultural and economic importance in the UAE. Despite recent price fluctuations, sentiment among local investors remains constructive over the coming six months, with attention on underlying factors such as continued central bank activity in gold and supply dynamics in the oil market.”
The sports-car maker delivered 279,449 cars last year, down from 310,718 in 2024.
Parts for iPhones to cost more owing to surging demand from AI companies.
UAE retail investors bought the AI and software dip in Q1 despite geopolitical and SaaS concerns, signaling strong long-term conviction.
3 min
Against a backdrop of geopolitical conflict in the Gulf and rising investments in AI, retail investors increased their exposure to software and AI infrastructure stocks whose share prices have taken a hit in the first quarter of 2026, according to the latest data from trading and investing platform, eToro.
eToro looked at which companies saw the largest proportional change in holders quarter-on-quarter and also examined the 10 most held stocks on the platform among users based in the UAE.
Software and SaaS names featured prominently in the Q1 top risers list, suggesting UAE investors used the sector-wide sell-off to buy the dip. ServiceNow topped the list with a 125% jump in holders as its share price fell around 32% in Q1, although in the same quarter it announced partnerships with AI heavyweights OpenAI and Anthropic. Adobe ranked third (54% increase in holders) even as the stock came under pressure over concerns about its ability to defend its core software business against AI disruption. Shares were down about 25% by mid-March, along with news that the chief executive would step down, suggesting UAE investors were buying during the pullback.
AI infrastructure was another clear theme in Q1: Super Micro Computer (+65%) in second place, followed by Micron (+39%) in fifth, and Oracle (+38%) in sixth. Investors appear to have bought into a late-quarter sell-off with Super Micro Computer. The stock had traded largely sideways before tumbling 33% after US prosecutors charged the co-founder over an alleged scheme to smuggle Nvidia-powered servers to China. Oracle also fits the buy-the-dip theme. The stock has been volatile amid concerns about spending tied to its AI cloud expansion.
The standout exception was Micron, one of the few names in the group to post stock price gains over the quarter. The move was driven by stronger momentum from surging demand for AI memory chips and limited new supply.
George Naddaf, Managing Director at eToro (MENA), said: “In Q1, UAE investors approached technology with selectivity and opportunism. Some of the companies that drew the strongest increase in holders had fallen to around 25% to 33%, suggesting investors were willing to buy into the sell-off where they still saw long-term value.”
He added: “Despite talk about the ‘Saaspocalypse’, the idea that AI will dismantle traditional SaaS business models, UAE investors showed sustained interest in software. They are honing in on companies that they believe have a clear role in the tech value chain and potential for monetization. While geopolitical tensions added to market volatility, the pattern in holdings suggests UAE investors were driven more by sector conviction than by a broad risk-off mindset.”
Other Q1 risers spanned multiple sectors. Investors pushed e.l.f. Beauty to fourth place by increasing holdings 52%. They also drove gains in Duolingo, Gorilla Technology, Hims & Hers Health, and SoFi Technologies, highlighting interest in companies across digital education, IT services, telehealth, and fintech.
Q1’s ‘top fallers’ list featured a mix of industries. Twist Bioscience Corporation led the pack with a 90% decrease in holders, followed by Okta (-49%) and CoreWeave (-47%). BioMarin Pharmaceuticals also saw a big decline, with holders down 35% QoQ.
The most widely held stocks were largely unchanged from last quarter, with only minor reshuffles in the top half. NVIDIA held onto first place, while Amazon rose to second, and Microsoft to fourth. Tesla slipped to third and Apple to fifth, while positions six to ten remain unchanged.
Naddaf remarked: “Local investors’ selective approach to technology is further evidenced by the fact that AI and tech companies feature in both the risers and fallers lists. They appear to be making efforts to distinguish between the winners and laggards of the AI revolution.”
Looking at the most held ranking, he added: “It suggests UAE investors are continuing to treat these names as core positions rather than short-term trades. NVIDIA held onto the top spot, while Amazon moved up to second and Microsoft climbed to fourth, but the ranking is largely unchanged. This points to continued conviction in mega-cap technology companies contributing to AI infrastructure and enterprise applications. In a quarter marked by uncertainty, that kind of stability points to a confidence in scale, earnings visibility, and relevance.”
Parts for iPhones to cost more owing to surging demand from AI companies.
New research suggests that bonuses make employees feel more like a mere cog in a wheel.
AI is reshaping banking—but trust is still catching up. A new report from SAS shows that while banks lead in AI investment, only 11% have both high trust in AI and truly trustworthy systems, with nearly half stuck between underusing reliable tools or over relying on unproven ones—highlighting a clear gap between AI ambition and real readiness.
4 min
In banking, trust isn’t optional – it’s everything. Yet, even as banks accelerate AI investment faster than other sectors, most are deploying AI without the oversight and infrastructure needed to earn that trust. That’s the central tension revealed in new banking insights from SAS’ Data and AI Impact Report: The Trust Imperative, with research insights by IDC.
Among the four sectors examined in the study, banking outpaces government, insurance and life sciences both in AI spending and adoption of trustworthy AI practices. In fact, about one-quarter (23%) of banks operate at the highest level of IDC’s Trustworthy AI Index. But even with these advantages, most banking institutions fall far short of the report’s “ideal state,” which combines high trust with high trustworthiness. According to the report:
- Only 11% of banks have achieved both high internal confidence in AI and AI systems that are demonstrably trustworthy.
- Nearly half (47%) fall into what IDC calls the “trust dilemma” – either underusing reliable AI because they don’t sufficiently trust it or overrelying on AI systems that haven’t been adequately validated.
“On trustworthy AI, banking leads every sector in this study – and even so, most banks’ foundational readiness is nowhere near where it needs to be,” said Stu Bradley, Senior Vice President of Risk, Fraud and Compliance Solutions at SAS. “Roughly nine in 10 banks have yet to fully align trust with proof, and about one in five are still running on siloed data. Closing the gap between AI ambition and AI readiness should be a top-down priority for all banks.”
As the UAE’s Vision 2031 and wider digital transformation efforts continue to gain momentum, banks across the Middle East are increasingly adopting advanced technologies to improve efficiency, strengthen resilience, and deliver better customer experiences.
Michel Ghorayeb, Managing Director at SAS UAE, said: “Banks in the Middle East are well-positioned to build on strong foundations, with robust data, clear governance, and effective oversight enabling AI investments to scale and deliver reliable results. At the same time, prioritizing transparency and making AI decisions easier to understand will play a key role in strengthening confidence. Banks that place responsible AI at the heart of their strategy will be best positioned to drive innovation, earn trust, and create sustainable long-term value.”
Investment is rising, but foundations remain fragile
The report, based on a global, cross-industry survey of 2,375 IT and business leaders, reveals a troubling pattern: Investment in AI capabilities is not being matched by investment in the responsible innovation pillars that make AI dependable. In an industry where a single model failure can trigger regulatory penalties or erode consumer confidence overnight, that’s a dangerous disconnect.
And the problem isn’t a lack of investment: Banks’ AI spending trajectory exceeds all other sectors in the study, with most banks (60%) expecting growth between 4% and 20%. A smaller subset (12%) anticipates even steeper increases. Despite this momentum, the study found significant foundational weaknesses remain, including:
- Data silos. Nearly one in five banks (19%) still operate with a siloed data infrastructure – the worst rate among the study’s focus industries.
- Insufficient data foundations. A significant portion of banks lack effective data governance (45%) and/or a centralized or optimized data infrastructure (41%).
- Talent gaps. Many banks (42%) also face shortages of specialized AI skills.
To address these issues, more than half (52%) of banks plan to expand their AI architecture; another 43% plan to form or grow dedicated AI teams. But fewer than one-third (31%) plan to focus on developing and tuning AI models themselves. The takeaway: These aren’t abstract or theoretical barriers; they’re structural.
“The banking sector clearly understands AI’s potential, but understanding and execution are not the same,” said Kathy Lange, Research Director of the AI and Automation Practice at IDC. “Without strong data architectures, governance frameworks and talent pipelines, banks risk pouring money into AI initiatives that can’t deliver ROI – or worse, that undermine the very trust they depend on.”
Responsible innovation, not cost savings, drives AI ROI
The report also challenges the assumption that AI’s primary value in banking is cost cutting. To the contrary, banking stands alone in ranking product and service innovation above process efficiency as the leading source of AI-driven value.
Cross-industry ROI figures show banks are onto something. Organizations using AI to improve customer experience reported the highest return – $1.83 for every dollar invested – followed closely by those centered on expanding market share ($1.74). Those focused on cost savings reported the lowest – $1.54 per dollar. Moreover, organizations that prioritized trustworthy AI were 60% more likely to report doubling overall return on their AI initiatives. That’s solid proof that responsible innovation is a growth accelerator that more than pays for itself.
Banks are also moving more decisively than other sectors toward agentic AI, with nearly one-third planning increases in trustworthy AI investment to support more autonomous systems. But as AI systems gain greater decision-making authority, the consequences of weak governance grow more significant.
“Regulators are watching. Customers are watching. And right now, nearly half of banks are using unproven AI – or hesitating to tap AI they’ve validated,” said Alex Kwiatkowski, Director of Global Financial Services at SAS. “No bank wants to become an ‘also-ran’ in this highly competitive race, and cost savings alone won’t keep them in it.
“The banks that win will be ones that invest in governance, explainability, transparency and strong data foundations before they scale, not after something breaks.”
Parts for iPhones to cost more owing to surging demand from AI companies.
Many of the most-important events have slipped from our collective memories. But their impacts live on.
The UAE’s Ministry of Economy and Tourism and the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA) have signed an MoU to strengthen financial oversight, enhance regulatory cooperation, and support the growth of the financial services sector. The agreement focuses on improving supervision of auditors and non-financial businesses, boosting transparency, and reinforcing efforts to combat financial crime—while further positioning Dubai and the UAE as leading global financial hubs.
2 minThe Ministry of Economy and Tourism of the United Arab Emirates (UAE), and the Dubai Financial Services Authority (DFSA), the independent regulator of banking, wealth & asset management, and capital markets in Dubai International Financial Centre (DIFC), today signed a Memorandum of Understanding (MoU) to enhance cooperation and facilitate the exchange of information relating to the regulatory oversight of auditors and Designated Non-Financial Businesses and Professions (DNFBPs) within their respective jurisdictions.
H.E. Abdulla Bin Touq Al Marri, Minister of Economy and Tourism, said: “The UAE has placed significant emphasis on developing a robust and advanced infrastructure for the financial services sector, given its importance as one of the main pillars for building a knowledge economy based on innovation and flexibility. The signing of this Memorandum of Understanding reflects our continued commitment to strengthening national regulatory frameworks in support of economic growth. Through closer coordination with the DFSA, we aim to enhance the effectiveness of supervision over auditors and Designated Non-Financial Businesses and Professions, fostering investor confidence and reinforcing Dubai International Financial Centre, Dubai, and the UAE’s position as a leading global financial hub.”
Fadel Al Ali, Chairman of the DFSA, commented: “This Memorandum of Understanding marks an important step in reinforcing our collaborative approach to regulatory oversight within Dubai International Financial Centre. By strengthening cooperation with the Ministry of Economy and Tourism, we enhance the Dubai Financial Services Authority’s ability to uphold robust standards across the sectors that we supervise, while contributing to Dubai and the United Arab Emirates’ broader efforts to combat financial crime and support the sustainable growth of its financial services sector.”
The MoU establishes a framework for collaboration between the two authorities, supporting their shared objective of maintaining high standards of transparency, accountability, and integrity across financial and non-financial sectors. The agreement reflects a mutual commitment to effective supervision and enforcement in line with international best practices.
In particular, the MoU aims to strengthen cooperation between the two authorities, and further reinforces their joint commitment and effort towards combating money laundering, the financing of terrorism, and the proliferation of illicit activities, to the extent permitted by the respective laws and regulations governing each authority.
The MoU underscores the importance of information sharing and coordinated oversight in addressing evolving regulatory challenges and fostering a resilient, transparent, and growth-oriented financial services ecosystem in DIFC, Dubai, and the United Arab Emirates.
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Mubadala and Qatar Investment Authority have backed WHOOP in a $575 million funding round that values the wellness firm at $10.1 billion, as investors double down on tech-enabled preventive healthcare. The capital will support global expansion as WHOOP scales its wearable platform focused on real-time health, recovery, and performance tracking.
< 1 minGulf sovereign wealth funds Mubadala and Qatar Investment Authority (QIA) have invested in WHOOP, an American wellness firm that seeks to extend human healthspan and prevent disease through its wearable device.
The two entities joined other investors in the recent $575 million Series G funding that brought the company’s valuation to $10.1 billion.
The investors include Abu Dhabi-based 2PointZero Group, as well as Collaborative Fund, which led the funding round, Abbott, Mayo Clinic and Macquarie Capital, alongside popular athletes including Cristiano Ronaldo and Rory Mcllroy.
Proceeds from the funding round will support expansion in the US, Europe, the GCC, Latin America and Asia.
WHOOP operates an app that helps people live healthier and longer lives. Those who sign up for it can track their health in real time through a 24/7 wearable health device or fitness band that provides guidance across sleep, recovery, strain, fitness and longevity.
QIA said its investment is in line with its strategy to support tech-enabled firms that are making an impact in various industries, including the future of personalized and preventive healthcare.
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Dubai’s property market is showing resilience despite regional tensions, with off-plan apartment sales reaching nearly $5 billion in March, up 12.9% year-on-year. Strong demand—particularly in the ultra-luxury segment—continues to position the emirate as a safe-haven for investors, with S&P Global noting that recent reforms and long-term residency initiatives are reinforcing stability even as broader markets face volatility.
2 minDubai’s property investors are showing resilience against a backdrop of volatility and uncertainty, with apartment sales in the emirate reaching nearly $5 billion in the weeks since the US-Israeli war on Iran began.
Off-plan residential apartment sales in Dubai hit AED 17.5 billion ($ 4.8 billion) in March 2026, marking a 12.9% increase compared to a year ago, according to an analysis of Dubai Land Department (DLD) data by Al Masdar Al Aqaari, a platform specialising in UAE property market insights.
Transaction volumes in the off-plan segment also rose 2.3% to 7,983 deals during the same period, indicating strong buyer interest in Dubai real estate.
Iran has launched drone attacks and strikes in the UAE since the conflict began on February 28, leading market analysts to question the emirate’s safe-haven status for high-net-worth individuals (HNWIs). The conflict has also stoked chaos across financial markets outside the region.
DLD sales data showed that property seekers in Dubai showed strong interest in apartments in areas like Madinat Al Mataar and Dubai Islands. The increase in sales has been attributed to the “ultra-luxury” segment and strategic development near Al Maktoum International Airport (DWC).
One of the developments, Aman Residences, saw record-breaking deals, with one buyer snapping up an apartment for AED 422 million.
The analysis, however, did not take into account sales transactions in the villa segment or secondary and completed properties.
S&P has said that Dubai is not likely to lose its safe-haven allure soon nor will it undergo a property market crash similar to that of 2008 despite the regional conflict, highlighting that recent government reforms have changed the buyer profile from speculative to long-term.
While there has been a “flight to liquidity” during the initial phase of the conflict, some investors are doubling down on tangible assets in Dubai to use as a hedge against currency instability in the rest of the Middle East.
“We believe that the UAE government’s visa reforms will create a degree of stability and stickiness for residents and home/property owners … initiatives such as the Golden Visa grant long-term residency to investors,” the ratings agency said.
S&P also noted that so far, the damage to real estate assets in Dubai that were struck by drones, missiles, shrapnel or debris has “not been to a degree beyond repair.”
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SpaceX is preparing for what could become the largest IPO in history, with a valuation exceeding $1.75 trillion and plans to raise up to $75 billion—surpassing Saudi Aramco. The listing would give investors first-time access to Elon Musk’s space ecosystem, spanning Starlink, Starship, and AI ambitions through xAI, but raises questions around valuation as capital-intensive expansion accelerates.
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SpaceX is reportedly preparing to go public in what could become the largest IPO in history, with a potential valuation exceeding USD $1.75 trillion and plans to raise up to USD $75 billion. If confirmed, this would surpass Saudi Aramco’s 2019 listing, which raised USD $29.4 billion.
The listing would mark the first opportunity for public market investors to gain exposure to Elon Musk’s space ecosystem. SpaceX has established itself as a global leader, with its Starlink broadband network generating significant revenue and its launch capabilities dominating the commercial space sector.
Proceeds from the IPO are expected to fund the continued development of Starship, expand Starlink into new verticals, support defense-related initiatives, and accelerate investments in AI infrastructure, including the concept of space-based data centers.
The company’s recent merger with xAI introduces an additional dimension for investors. While the move creates a vertically integrated innovation platform spanning space and artificial intelligence, it also raises questions around valuation, given xAI’s capital-intensive nature.
Josh Gilbert, Market Analyst at eToro, commented: “SpaceX’s IPO represents a watershed moment for global markets. It’s not just about gaining exposure to a leading space company, but about investing in a broader ecosystem that spans connectivity, defense, and artificial intelligence. However, the complexity of the business model — combining a highly profitable space and broadband operation with a capital-intensive AI venture — means investors will need to carefully assess whether the proposed valuation is justified.”
The IPO also has implications for Tesla investors, as Tesla holds a stake in SpaceX following its USD $2 billion xAI investment. Increasing operational ties between the companies have fueled speculation about a potential future merger, which could create a new type of multi-sector technology conglomerate.
Notably, SpaceX is expected to allocate a significant portion of shares to retail investors, potentially up to 30%, signaling a shift in how major IPOs engage with individual market participants.
As anticipation builds, the key question for investors remains whether the scale, ambition, and integration of SpaceX’s business lines can support what would be one of the most ambitious valuations ever seen in public markets.
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Wall Street’s strong start to 2026 has faltered as rising energy prices and Middle East tensions rattle markets, pushing U.S. stocks toward their worst quarter in years and raising fears of a potential global recession.
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It was supposed to be a banner year for Wall Street. Now investors are just hoping to avoid a global recession triggered by a historic run-up in energy prices.
U.S. stocks are set to deliver their worst quarter in nearly four years. The tech-heavy Nasdaq composite lurched into correction territory on March 26, meaning it had fallen 10% below its recent high. A day later, the Dow Jones Industrial Average (a benchmark for the real economy) joined it.
Flashback to December: Economic growth was accelerating, the Federal Reserve appeared poised to make further interest-rate cuts and markets had moved past the uncertainty created by U.S. disputes with its international trading partners. Together, the trends pointed to the potential for double-digit returns, and investors came into 2026 confident the rally was about to sweep up many of the stocks that sat out the rise of Big Tech, Nvidia and the artificial-intelligence boom.
“We had a perfect backdrop for a broadening—all the stars aligned,” said Michael Kantrowitz, chief investment strategist and head of portfolio strategy at Piper Sandler. “Then this just put a huge pause in it.”
For the first two months of the year, there were encouraging signs. While some tech stocks stalled, investors flocked to overlooked corners of the market, enticed by lower valuations and the idea that the economy would heat up.
There were some reasons for concern. Fears that AI could disrupt industries such as software have dragged down stocks in the once-hot industry, and many investors are watching the private-credit market closely for additional cracks. But on the whole, the U.S. stock market kept grinding higher.
What changed was war in the Middle East. Since Feb. 28, when the U.S. and Israel launched a series of strikes on Iran, oil prices have surged 55%, gold has been sinking and bond yields have climbed sharply. The S&P 500 has erased all of its gains for the past seven months.
In March, the market did experience a broadening many investors had foreseen, though not in the direction most wanted. Through Monday, 10 of the S&P 500’s 11 sectors were down this month, by an average of 8.3%. Energy was the lone exception.
The war has jacked up the price of oil and snarled supply chains for a variety of other important commodities, from aluminum to urea. That has raised the prospect of higher inflation and upended bets that the Fed will move to cut interest rates this year. Before the conflict broke out, traders priced in a nearly 80% chance that the central bank would cut rates twice by the end of the year. Now, those odds have dropped to less than 2%.
The Federal Reserve decided to hold interest rates steady as the U.S. conflict with Iran drives oil prices higher and clouds economic forecasts. WSJ’s Nick Timiraos explains.
Stock indexes posted relatively modest declines in the opening week of the war, reflecting expectations that any disruption to oil exports through the Strait of Hormuz would be short-lived. As that disruption enters a second month, Wall Street is having to confront a darker scenario.
“If a prolonged conflict means that we never get any more oil out of the Gulf, we will absolutely have a global recession,” said David Kelly, chief market strategist at J.P. Morgan Asset Management. “But I think both the U.S. administration and the Iranians will at some stage want to find an off-ramp.”
As stock declines accelerated in the back half of March, investors who hoped their bond portfolios would serve as a hedge found little relief. The worst rout in Treasurys since last April’s tariff chaos means a traditional 60% stocks and 40% bonds portfolio is performing almost as poorly as holding stocks alone.
BlackRock CEO Larry Fink sounded the alarm on the high stakes of the Iran conflict last week. If Iran is accepted back into the global trading community after the fighting, the resulting supply would lower and stabilize global energy prices, Fink told the BBC. But if Tehran remains a threat, he fears years of oil prices well above $100 a barrel.
“The $40 oil implication is one of abundance and growth,” Fink said. “The other one is an outcome of probably stark and steep recession.”
By some measures, stocks remain on solid footing: Analysts are projecting a sixth-straight quarter of double-digit earnings growth for S&P 500 companies during the first three months of 2026, according to FactSet. And some investors are impressed stocks haven’t fared even worse this month, given the circumstances.
Individual investors have still been buying stocks on a net basis, though the pace of their purchases has cooled from prewar averages, estimates from Citadel Securities and Vanda Research show.
But the pressures on markets are mounting, and traders are finding it more difficult to shrug off the conflict the way they did in the days following the initial attack, when they seemed to follow the TACO, or “Trump-Always-Chickens-Out,” playbook learned during last April’s tariff drama.
“Despite all the TACO hopes, it seems folks are increasingly realizing that it takes two to TACO these days,” Bob Elliott, chief executive of Unlimited Funds, wrote to clients on Sunday.
Investors are now scrutinizing the strength of a U.S. economy that has proved resilient despite a sluggish job market. The oil shock threatens to drag on growth, raising energy costs for consumers and businesses.
“The main risk is you had an economy that was a little wobbly heading into Q1,” said Steven Blitz, chief economist at TS Lombard. “Now, you’ve put an energy tax on it.”
The recent volatility has minted some winners—stocks in the S&P 500 energy sector are up 39% this year, on track to notch their best quarterly performance on record. Other “asset-heavy” industries such as materials also outperformed, as investors scout for companies that would be tough for AI to disrupt.
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GCC economies are set for a slight contraction in 2026 as regional tensions weigh on trade, travel and investor confidence, with GDP expected to dip by 0.2% before rebounding strongly by 8.5% in 2027, according to ICAEW. While energy markets offer partial support, disruptions to tourism and logistics are driving uneven impacts across the region, with recovery hinging on how quickly stability and confidence return.
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GCC economies are forecast to contract this year as recent regional escalations continue to weigh on economic activity, according to ICAEW’s latest Economic Insight Q1 2026 report, produced in partnership with Oxford Economics. Set against a softening global growth backdrop, the report forecasts GCC GDP to decline by 0.2% in 2026, reflecting sustained disruption to energy trade, travel and investor sentiment. However, the report also indicates a strong recovery, with GCC GDP forecast to expand by 8.5% in 2027.
The pace and strength of recovery will depend on how conditions evolve in the coming months, with a prolonged disruption presenting a more challenging outlook.
Within the current conditions, economies with greater exposure to international trade, tourism and logistics, are likely to see more pronounced near-term adjustments. While others are expected to remain relatively more resilient, reflecting differences in economic structure, export flexibility and exposure to global demand.
Energy markets remain central to the outlook. Elevated oil prices have provided some support; however, this has been offset by constraints on production and export volumes, with only Saudi Arabia and UAE able to export through alternative pipelines. GCC oil sector output is forecast to decline by 5.8% in 2026, before recovering strongly by 18.2% in 2027.
Beyond energy, the effects on tourism and travel are predicted to be more sustained. Airspace disruption and weaker sentiment have led to a decline in international visitor flows, with arrivals to the Middle East projected to fall by between 11% and 27% this year. This equates to up to 38 million fewer visitors and as much as $56bn in lost spending.
This will weigh on broader non-oil activity across the region, with growth projected to remain largely flat at 0.1% in 2026, before recovering to 6.4% in 2027 as confidence returns.
Heightened uncertainty is expected to drive more cautious consumer and business behavior in the near term, with precautionary savings rising and investment activity softening. Financial markets have already reflected this shift, particularly in more internationally exposed markets.
From a fiscal perspective, the impact will vary across the region. Higher oil prices will likely support government revenues in some economies, while others may face pressure due to constrained export volumes. Government spending is expected to increase across the GCC as authorities support economic stability prioritize strategic sectors including financial services, technology and healthcare.
Commenting on the findings, Hanadi Khalife, Regional Director of MEASA, ICAEW, said: “Recent regional developments have created a more challenging near-term environment for GCC economies, with disruption to energy trade and softer confidence weighing on activity. While this has placed pressure on growth in the short term, the region’s underlying fundamentals remain strong, supporting a recovery as conditions stabilize.”
Azad Zangana, Head of GCC Macroeconomic Analysis, added: “The impact across the GCC reflects differences in economic structure and exposure to external demand. While energy markets are anticipated to recover as trade flows normalize, sectors such as tourism may take longer to recover, which could weigh on diversification momentum in the near term. The strength of the rebound will depend on how quickly stability returns and confidence is restored.”
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Qatar Central Bank unveiled new measures to support liquidity and safeguard the banking system amid regional tensions, including a reserve requirement cut, expanded repo facilities, and temporary relief for affected borrowers.
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Qatar Central Bank (QCB) has announced a series of monetary policy and borrower support measures to mitigate the impact of the Iran war on the banking system and ensure adequate liquidity.
The central bank, in a review of the financial system, said liquidity remains strong and capital levels continue to exceed regulatory requirements. The QCB added that banks maintain substantial equity positions in both domestic and foreign currencies.
Despite this, the external environment remains uncertain, and conditions may change, it said. In light of this, the central bank decided to introduce a few precautionary measures.
As part of the package, QCB will reduce the reserve requirement on deposits to 3.5% from 4.5%, releasing additional liquidity into the banking system.
The central bank will also offer an unlimited amount of Qatari riyal (QAR) repurchase (repo) facilities against eligible securities held by banks, to maintain QAR liquidity in the local market.
In addition to the existing overnight repo facility, QCB will introduce a term repo facility with maturities of up to three months, enabling banks to manage cash flows with greater certainty during the current period.
On the borrower support front, QCB will allow banks to offer customers affected by the conflict the option to defer loan principal and interest payments for up to three months.
Earlier this month, the UAE Central Bank rolled out a resilience package aimed at reinforcing liquidity in the banking system.
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Gulf markets slipped as rising regional tensions weighed on sentiment, with losses in Dubai, Abu Dhabi, and Qatar, while Saudi Arabia edged higher on banking and energy gains.
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Most Gulf stock markets slipped in early Monday trading after Yemen’s Houthis launched attacks on Israel over the weekend, further escalating the U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran and its proxies in the Middle East.
Amid the rising tensions, U.S. President Donald Trump said Washington and Tehran had been communicating both directly and indirectly, describing Iran’s new leadership as “very reasonable.”
At the same time, additional U.S. troops arrived in the region, while the Israeli military said it was targeting Iranian government infrastructure across Tehran on Monday. Late Sunday, the Financial Times reported that Trump said the U.S. could seize Kharg Island in the Persian Gulf — a key hub for Iran’s oil exports — though he also suggested that a ceasefire could be reached quickly.
Meanwhile, Iran said it was prepared to respond to any U.S. ground offensive, accusing Washington on Sunday of planning a land assault even as it continued to pursue negotiations.
Dubai’s main share index dropped 1.1%, dragged down by a 3.1% slide in top lender Emirates NBD and a 1.9% decline in sharia-compliant lender Dubai Islamic Bank.
In Abu Dhabi, the index lost 0.5%, hit by a 4.1% plunge in Abu Dhabi Ship Building and 0.1% fall in Aldar Properties.
Meanwhile, shares in Fertiglobe, a producer of ammonia and urea, climbed 2.3%.
Emirates Global Aluminium, the Middle East’s largest producer of the metal, said on Saturday that its Al Taweelah production base in the UAE had suffered significant damage in Iranian missile and drone attacks, while Aluminium Bahrain (Alba), which operates the world’s largest single-site smelter, said on Sunday it was assessing damage from the strikes. Alba shares were down 0.9%.
The Qatari index declined 0.9%, with the Gulf’s biggest lender Qatar National Bank retreating 1.1%.
Saudi Arabia’s benchmark index bucked the regional trend to gain 0.3%, helped by a 0.8% rise in Al Rajhi Bank and a 0.5% increase in oil giant Saudi Aramco .
Elsewhere, ADES Holding added 0.6%, after the oil drilling group beat analyst expectations with a 2% rise in annual net profit and reiterated its strong growth forecast for this year despite some rig suspensions last year and recent halts due to the war.
Saudi crude exports redirected from the Strait of Hormuz to the Yanbu port in the Red Sea reached 4.658 million barrels per day last week, according to Kpler data, easing some concerns around supply disruption.
Oil prices extended gains on Monday, with Brent headed for a record monthly rise.
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Ninja moves forward with IPO plans despite market volatility, targeting Tadawul listing by 2027.
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Saudi Arabian startup Ninja is going ahead with plans to launch an initial public offering (IPO) and list on the Saudi Exchange (Tadawul) despite volatility in the capital markets caused by the Middle East conflict.
Founded in 2022, the quick-commerce firm’s representatives have held meetings with investors recently and participated in a banking conference in the United Kingdom this month, according to Bloomberg.
Ninja is weighing which investment banks to commission for the IPO, with the selection process now in the final stages, the news agency said, quoting sources familiar with the matter.
The listing is slated for later this year or early 2027.
The private startup has been heavily supported by investors in the kingdom, including institutional and semi-government entities.
Since its launch, the firm has scaled up rapidly, expanding into Bahrain, Kuwait and Qatar, and has reached unicorn status with a valuation of more than $1 billion.
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Egypt accelerates debt repayments to international oil companies, aiming to boost investment and revive domestic energy production amid rising import costs.
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Egypt will settle $1.3 billion in arrears to international oil companies by June, the petroleum ministry said on Saturday, accelerating its previous timetable for repayments.
Egypt had accumulated about $6.1 billion in arrears to foreign oil companies by June 30, 2024 due to a prolonged foreign currency shortage that delayed payments and weighed on investment and gas output. The shortage has since eased, though some companies have said that arrears have been once again accumulating.
Under its prior timetable, announced in January this year, the government had expected to still have arrears of some $1.2 billion by June.
Clearing debt may encourage foreign oil and gas companies to resume drilling, which would boost local production that has been steadily falling since peaking in 2021.
More local production would help the North African nation to reduce its energy imports.
Egypt’s energy imports bill has more than doubled since the outbreak of the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran and the government is considering asking employees to work remotely and closing shops by 9 p.m. (1900 GMT) five days a week to cut energy consumption.
According to a recent note by the Institute of International Finance, the additional cost of oil could lead to an increase in expenditure of between 0.2% and 0.55% of the country’s GDP at a time when its economy is barely recovering from successive shocks.
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Egypt introduces sweeping real estate tax reforms to ease pressure on households, including raising the exemption threshold to EGP 8 million, capping penalties, and offering new incentives for timely payment and dispute resolution.
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Egypt’s Minister of Finance, Ahmed Kouchouk, has announced a package of unprecedented incentives and facilitative measures aimed at easing the burden of real estate taxes on citizens, as part of broader efforts to support household finances amid ongoing economic pressures.
In a statement issued on Friday, the minister revealed that the tax exemption threshold for primary residential properties has been raised to EGP 8 million, a move expected to significantly reduce the number of taxable homeowners. He also emphasized that late payment penalties will not exceed the original tax amount, providing further relief to taxpayers.
Kouchouk noted that no real estate tax will be imposed on properties that are demolished or rendered unusable due to exceptional circumstances. Additionally, for the first time, taxpayers will be allowed to request full waivers of both tax liabilities and associated penalties in cases deemed necessary.
The reforms also include provisions for refunding any excess payments made beyond legally due amounts, while penalties will be waived for individuals who settle their dues either before or within six months of the new amendments coming into effect.
In a notable step, all unresolved appeals currently under review will be dismissed, while taxpayers will be allowed to settle ongoing disputes by paying 70% of the contested tax amount, enabling faster resolution of cases.
To encourage compliance, the government is introducing tax incentives, including a 25% discount for timely filing on residential units and 10% for non-residential properties. An additional 5% discount will be granted for early payments.
The reforms also allow taxpayers to submit a single unified tax return for multiple properties and facilitate electronic payments and filings, signaling a shift toward a more efficient and taxpayer-friendly system.
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Prices at such a level could trigger a recession or consumer changes that crush demand.
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Saudi Arabia’s oil officials are working frantically to project how high oil prices might go if the Iran war and its disruption of energy supplies doesn’t end soon—and they don’t like what they are seeing.
The base case, several oil officials in the Gulf’s biggest producer said, is that prices could soar past $180 a barrel if the disruptions persist until late April.
While that would sound like a bonanza for a kingdom still heavily leveraged to oil revenue, it is deeply concerning. Prices that high could push consumers into habits that slash their oil use—potentially for the long term—or trigger a recession that also hurts demand. They also would risk casting Saudi Arabia in the role of profiteer in a war it didn’t start.
“Saudi Arabia generally does not like too-rapid increases in oil, because that then creates long-term market instability,” said Umer Karim, an analyst of Saudi foreign policy and geopolitics with the King Faisal Center for Research and Islamic Studies. “For Saudis, the ideal equation is a relatively modest increase in prices while their market share remains stable.”
Saudi Aramco, the country’s national oil company, which handles production, sales and pricing, declined to comment.
This week’s strikes targeting energy facilities have pushed oil prices higher . In retaliation for an Israeli strike Wednesday on Iran’s South Pars gas field , Tehran hit facilities in Qatar’s Ras Laffan energy hub and attacked other Gulf infrastructure including Saudi facilities at Yanbu, the Red Sea end of a pipeline that can take crude around the chokepoint in the Strait of Hormuz .
Iran also continued to hit ships in the Gulf, extending a string of attacks that have all but shut the strait, the narrow conduit for 20% of the world’s oil shipments.
Attacks sent benchmark Brent futures as high as $119 a barrel before easing back Thursday. The contract’s all-time high, reached in July 2008, was $146.08.
“$200 a barrel is not outside the realms of possibility in 2026,” analysts at energy consulting firm Wood Mackenzie said.
Gulf futures tied to Oman crude, which are less liquid but which quickly reflect local supply disruptions, shot past $166 a barrel. Oman is a benchmark for much of the oil sold by Middle East producers such as Saudi Arabia, with tankers of physical crude priced at a fixed spread to the benchmark, which floats up and down each day with the market.
Some Saudi customers are balking at using the benchmark given its volatility, the oil officials said. Aramco, however, is insisting it is a true reflection of supply in the market, they said.
The war has already removed millions of barrels of oil from global supply. Prices are up by around 50% since the conflict began Feb. 28.
Modellers at Saudi Aramco need to assess the direction of the market in time to release the official selling prices for their crude by April 2. They pull in a number of inputs, including soundings on customer demand from staff who handle oil sales.
Saudi Arabian light crude is already being sold to Asian buyers via its Red Sea port for around $125 a barrel. As extra oil in storage—some of which was shipped out of the Gulf ahead of the war—is used up, physical shortages will bite more deeply next week, causing prices to close in on $138 to $140, the officials said.
By the second week of April, with no easing of the supply disruptions and the Strait of Hormuz remaining closed, the Saudi officials said they expected prices could hit $150 before stepping up to $165 and $180 in the weeks ahead.
Oil traders are also putting bets on much higher prices, though many remain far lower than Aramco’s most dire scenario. Wagers that Brent futures will hit $130, $140 or $150 a barrel next month were among the most popular positions in the options market on Wednesday, according to Intercontinental Exchange data. A smaller but growing number of traders are betting prices could shoot up even further.
“The market isn’t acting like this is an end-of-March thing any more,” said Rebecca Babin, a senior energy trader for CIBC Private Wealth, referring to an ending for the war. “I don’t think $150 is out of the question in another month…You start talking about June, I’ll give you $180.”
Many variables could keep prices from going that high, among them an end to the fighting or freed-up barrels from sanctioned producers such as Russia contributing to global supply. Demand could also fall, which would bring prices back down but potentially only in tandem with a recession.
Energy producers are scrambling to figure out how high prices can go before buyers start cutting back, a phenomenon called demand destruction.
“Generally, $150 Brent is where people will really start to put their pencils down and do the math,” Babin said.
At that price, analysts say, Americans might start taking the bus, working from home or rethinking their summer vacations. Manufacturers could slow down rather than operate uneconomically.
The more relevant price for most consumers is at the pump. Gasoline demand tends to start declining once prices exceed $3.50 a gallon, according to James West of Melius Research.
For many, prices are already there. Americans’ average retail prices for gasoline jumped to $3.88 a gallon Thursday, according to AAA, up from $2.93 a month ago. Drivers in Arizona, New Mexico and Colorado have faced the starkest sticker shock.
Diesel’s even more rapid price surge, to $5.10 a gallon, is already hitting companies that rely on the fuel to move everything from produce to semiconductors to steel nationwide.
“Higher fuel costs act like a tax on consumers and businesses, forcing households to spend more on energy and less elsewhere,” said Philip Blancato, chief executive at Ladenburg Asset Management.
Another big risk to demand comes from industrial users curtailing consumption and from the broad economic contraction that can accompany oil shocks, according to Wood Mackenzie.
That pullback in demand would likely initially hit energy-poor countries in Asia and Europe, where prices for jet fuel, diesel and more already are skyrocketing.
An adviser working with Saudi Aramco said the company is weighing a scenario in which the rapidly rising cost of oil imports in Europe, Japan and Korea puts downward pressure on their currencies, raising their effective cost of energy, driving inflation and interest rates up, and eventually slowing their economies and demand.
Analysts warn that a continued run-up in U.S. prices could eventually hit the U.S. , the world’s largest oil producer.
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell said Wednesday that persistently higher energy costs would buoy price pressures and ding growth.
While the U.S. has become a major energy exporter in recent years, Powell said, “The net of the oil shock will still be some downward pressure on spending and employment and upward pressure on inflation.”
Many of the most-important events have slipped from our collective memories. But their impacts live on.
