Dubai Real Estate Enters a New Era of Global Investments
Dubai’s real estate market is undergoing a transformative phase, drawing global investors with its promise of profitable opportunities and a luxury lifestyle.
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British investors, in particular, have become key contributors to this growth. Enticed by significant tax incentives, high rental yields, and an upscale living environment, they are purchasing properties in record numbers.
Recent statistics from Dubai’s top property agencies show a notable increase in acquisitions by UK nationals, who have now surpassed traditional investor groups like Indians and Russians in terms of volume. This trend highlights Dubai’s escalating allure as an investment destination, especially amidst the economic instability faced in the UK.
Paul Kelly, Operations Director at Allsopp & Allsopp Group, reports a 43% increase in transactions from UK customers in the first quarter of 2024 compared to the previous year. He attributes this boost to a mix of new UK residents and a heightened interest among local UK tenants, driven by factors such as Brexit, rising living costs, and higher taxes at home, which position Dubai as an attractive alternative.
In 2023, British nationals accounted for an impressive 21.2% of Metropolitan Homes’ market share, overtaking groups like Indians and Russians. Alina Adamco, Head of Sales, noted the diversity of British clients ranging from young professionals and entrepreneurs to retirees, drawn by Dubai’s strategic location, advanced infrastructure, favorable tax policies, and strong investment returns.
The tax-free environment in Dubai, coupled with higher rental yields compared to major UK cities, continues to be a significant draw. This, alongside Dubai’s robust economy, low crime rates, strong legal framework, and pro-business government, reinforces its reputation as a safe haven for investments. Despite global economic fluctuations, the city’s economic resilience and sector diversification in tourism, trade, finance, and technology contrast sharply with the economic uncertainties in the UK, further enhancing its appeal.
Additionally, Dubai’s real estate market offers long-term residency options like the Golden Visa, which is particularly attractive to British retirees seeking a warm climate and luxurious lifestyle. Although luxury properties remain in demand, there is a growing shift towards more affordable residential options in prime areas such as Dubai Marina and Downtown Dubai, indicating Dubai’s capacity to adapt and attract sustained foreign investment and residency.
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The total transaction volume in Abu Dhabi for the first quarter of the year reached 2,795.
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The CBRE Middle East, a global leader in commercial real estate services and investments, released its latest edition of the UAE Residential Market Review for the first quarter of 2024.
Abu Dhabi Market Overview
During the first quarter of the year, the total volume of transactions in Abu Dhabi stood at 2,795, registering a 22.6% increase compared to the year prior. This increase has been underpinned by an 18.1% rise in off-plan sales and a 34.5% rise in secondary market sales. In the year to Q1 2024, Abu Dhabi’s average apartment and villa prices increased by 4.3% and 2.3%, respectively.
Abu Dhabi’s rental market witnessed a total of 46,130 residential rental contracts in Q1 2024, registering a decline of 10.9% from the year prior. This has been due to a 15.5% decline in the number of renewed rental contracts registered and a 2.4% drop in new rental registrations over the same period. In the year to Q1 2024, average apartment and villa rents have increased by 4.5% and 1.1%, respectively. On the supply front, only 80 units have been delivered in Abu Dhabi in the first three months of the year, with all of this new stock being in Al Raha Beach. An additional 8,660 units are expected to be completed by year-end with 55.8% of this scheduled stock located in Yas Island, Al Sowwah, and Al Shamkha.
Dubai Market Insights
In Dubai, price growth has continued to accelerate during the first quarter of 2024, with average prices increasing by 20.7% in the year to March 2024. Throughout this period, average apartment and villa prices increased by 20.4% and 22.1%, respectively. Although headline average sales rates are still marginally below the 2014 highs by 0.1%, several prominent residential neighbourhoods have already surpassed their 2014 figures.
As of March 2024, average apartment prices stood at AED 1,486 per square foot, and average villa prices reached AED 1,776 per square foot. Average villa sales rates are currently above their 2014 baseline by 22.9%. Rental growth has also gained momentum in 2024, after a period of moderation in 2023. In March 2024, average residential rents registered a year-on-year increase of 21.2%, up from the 20.4% growth registered a month earlier. Over this period, average apartment and villa rental rates grew by 22.1% and 14.5%, respectively. Data from the Dubai Land Department revealed that, in the year to date to March 2024, the total number of rental registrations stood at 159,941, marking an increase of 5.8% from the previous year. As for supply, a total of 6,526 units were delivered in the first quarter of the year, with 59.7% of this supply being located in Meydan One, Jumeirah Village Circle, and Al Furjan. A further 46,086 are expected to be handed over the remainder of the year. However, given historic materialisation rates, the report expects that a limited portion of this upcoming stock will come online as planned.
Record-Breaking Transactions
March 2024 witnessed another record in Dubai’s residential market, with transaction volumes reaching the highest monthly figure on record, marking a year-on-year growth of 13.2%. Throughout this period, off-plan sales and secondary market sales increased by 20.2%, and secondary market sales increased by 2.2%.
In the first quarter of 2024, Dubai’s total transaction volumes reached 35,310. This is the highest total ever recorded in the first quarter of the year, marking an increase of 20.5% from the year prior. Over this period, off-plan transactions recorded an increase of 23.9%, and secondary market transactions rose by 15.2%.
However, in Q1 2024, the total number of sales transactions within the prime market segment registered a decline of 2.1% compared to the year prior. Throughout this period, super-prime transactions recorded a drop of 16.5% year-on-year to stand at a total of 227. These declines witnessed in both markets have been largely underpinned by significant declines in off-plan sales largely attributable to the high levels of demand for off-plan properties and the limited level of upcoming supply. In terms of performance, in the first quarter of 2024, average prime prices registered a year-on-year increase of 16.0%, standing at an average of AED 4,661 per square foot, and average super-prime prices grew by 14.8% over this period, reaching AED 4,978 per square foot.
Future Projections
Looking ahead, CBRE expects Dubai’s residential sales market to maintain its upward trajectory. Prices in both the apartment and villa segments of the market will continue to grow, however, not at the same pace. On the rental front, we forecast that residential rents will continue to increase. That being said, the rate of growth will likely moderate.
Taimur Khan, CBRE’s Head of Research MENA in Dubai, comments: “The UAE’s residential market started the year on a relatively strong note, where the elevated demand levels continue to drive performance. The strong levels of activity and high absorption levels, which have reduced available supply, will continue to support price growth in both Abu Dhabi and Dubai over the remainder of the year. In terms of rental growth, we expect that rental rates in Abu Dhabi will continue to rise, with prime areas set to outperform the market. In Dubai, residential rents will continue to increase; however, not at the same rate that we have been seeing to date, and we expect that the rate of change will diminish in the second half of the year.”
Chris Dixon, a partner who led the charge, says he has a ‘very long-term horizon’
Americans now think they need at least $1.25 million for retirement, a 20% increase from a year ago, according to a survey by Northwestern Mutual
