Dubai Real Estate Navigates Towards a Historic Boom | Kanebridge News
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Dubai Real Estate Navigates Towards a Historic Boom

Allsopp & Allsopp predicts a significant surge in Dubai’s real estate market, possibly the largest in a decade.

Wed, Apr 10, 2024 1:55pmGrey Clock 2 min

Allsopp & Allsopp, a leading property specialist, provided a comprehensive analysis suggesting that Dubai’s real estate market is on the verge of experiencing its most substantial growth in a decade.

The firm analysis reports a notable increase in sales volume in the first quarter of the year, marking a 19.3% rise compared to the same period in 2023. This uptick surpasses the record-breaking sales volumes of Q4 2023, indicating a market that continues to strengthen.

The analysis by Allsopp & Allsopp reveals a significant trend towards affordability in the real estate market. It highlights that 30% of all properties sold were priced under AED1 million ($272,000), with the majority, 80%, being under the AED3 million ($817,000) threshold. This trend underscores a growing preference for more economically priced properties, coinciding with an increase in finance buyers over cash transactions.

PHOREE Real Estate

Projections for Dubai’s Real Estate Boom

Dubai’s exit from the Financial Action Task Force FATF “grey list” has significantly influenced investment patterns, boosting the city’s appeal as a financially stable and secure destination for global investors and institutions. This enhanced credibility is expected to drive further investment into Dubai’s real estate sector.

The preference for off-plan properties remains dominant, prompting developers to accelerate the launch of new projects. The current pace sees a new project unveiled every 17 hours, a marked increase from the previous rate.

Key Market Findings

  • Apartment sales lead the market with a 13% increase from the previous quarter’s record, highlighting the preference for apartment living.
  • Prime residential areas, namely Jumeirah Village Circle, Dubai Marina, and Business Bay, remain the most sought-after locations.
  • The sales value split shows apartments making up 61.2%, while villas and townhouses account for 38.8% of total sales.
Lewis Allsopp, Chairman of Allsopp & Allsopp

Lewis Allsopp, Chairman of Allsopp & Allsopp, praised the market’s outstanding performance in Q1, highlighting the surge in sales transactions and the shift towards finance buyers. A record-breaking sale of a luxury villa for AED72 million ($20 million) in Al Barari was a highlight, contributing to a 41% increase in villa and townhouse sales.

With Dubai recently being named the most visited city worldwide and over 25,700 expatriates making it their home in the last quarter, the population growth is poised to further boost the real estate market. Allsopp & Allsopp stand by their prediction that Dubai is on the edge of its most significant boom in 10 years, fueled by ongoing investments and the increasing influx of new residents, marking a new era in Dubai’s real estate history.



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UAE Residential Market Review Shows Strong Growth and Record Transactions in Q1 2024

The total transaction volume in Abu Dhabi for the first quarter of the year reached 2,795.

Thu, May 16, 2024 4 min

The CBRE Middle East, a global leader in commercial real estate services and investments, released its latest edition of the UAE Residential Market Review for the first quarter of 2024.

Abu Dhabi Market Overview

During the first quarter of the year, the total volume of transactions in Abu Dhabi stood at 2,795, registering a 22.6% increase compared to the year prior. This increase has been underpinned by an 18.1% rise in off-plan sales and a 34.5% rise in secondary market sales. In the year to Q1 2024, Abu Dhabi’s average apartment and villa prices increased by 4.3% and 2.3%, respectively.

Abu Dhabi’s rental market witnessed a total of 46,130 residential rental contracts in Q1 2024, registering a decline of 10.9% from the year prior. This has been due to a 15.5% decline in the number of renewed rental contracts registered and a 2.4% drop in new rental registrations over the same period. In the year to Q1 2024, average apartment and villa rents have increased by 4.5% and 1.1%, respectively. On the supply front, only 80 units have been delivered in Abu Dhabi in the first three months of the year, with all of this new stock being in Al Raha Beach. An additional 8,660 units are expected to be completed by year-end with 55.8% of this scheduled stock located in Yas Island, Al Sowwah, and Al Shamkha.

Dubai Market Insights

In Dubai, price growth has continued to accelerate during the first quarter of 2024, with average prices increasing by 20.7% in the year to March 2024. Throughout this period, average apartment and villa prices increased by 20.4% and 22.1%, respectively. Although headline average sales rates are still marginally below the 2014 highs by 0.1%, several prominent residential neighbourhoods have already surpassed their 2014 figures.

As of March 2024, average apartment prices stood at AED 1,486 per square foot, and average villa prices reached AED 1,776 per square foot. Average villa sales rates are currently above their 2014 baseline by 22.9%. Rental growth has also gained momentum in 2024, after a period of moderation in 2023. In March 2024, average residential rents registered a year-on-year increase of 21.2%, up from the 20.4% growth registered a month earlier. Over this period, average apartment and villa rental rates grew by 22.1% and 14.5%, respectively. Data from the Dubai Land Department revealed that, in the year to date to March 2024, the total number of rental registrations stood at 159,941, marking an increase of 5.8% from the previous year. As for supply, a total of 6,526 units were delivered in the first quarter of the year, with 59.7% of this supply being located in Meydan One, Jumeirah Village Circle, and Al Furjan. A further 46,086 are expected to be handed over the remainder of the year. However, given historic materialisation rates, the report expects that a limited portion of this upcoming stock will come online as planned.

Record-Breaking Transactions

March 2024 witnessed another record in Dubai’s residential market, with transaction volumes reaching the highest monthly figure on record, marking a year-on-year growth of 13.2%. Throughout this period, off-plan sales and secondary market sales increased by 20.2%, and secondary market sales increased by 2.2%.

In the first quarter of 2024, Dubai’s total transaction volumes reached 35,310. This is the highest total ever recorded in the first quarter of the year, marking an increase of 20.5% from the year prior. Over this period, off-plan transactions recorded an increase of 23.9%, and secondary market transactions rose by 15.2%.

However, in Q1 2024, the total number of sales transactions within the prime market segment registered a decline of 2.1% compared to the year prior. Throughout this period, super-prime transactions recorded a drop of 16.5% year-on-year to stand at a total of 227. These declines witnessed in both markets have been largely underpinned by significant declines in off-plan sales largely attributable to the high levels of demand for off-plan properties and the limited level of upcoming supply. In terms of performance, in the first quarter of 2024, average prime prices registered a year-on-year increase of 16.0%, standing at an average of AED 4,661 per square foot, and average super-prime prices grew by 14.8% over this period, reaching AED 4,978 per square foot.

Taimur Khan, CBRE’s Head of Research MENA in Dubai

Future Projections 

Looking ahead, CBRE expects Dubai’s residential sales market to maintain its upward trajectory. Prices in both the apartment and villa segments of the market will continue to grow, however, not at the same pace. On the rental front, we forecast that residential rents will continue to increase. That being said, the rate of growth will likely moderate.

Taimur Khan, CBRE’s Head of Research MENA in Dubai, comments: “The UAE’s residential market started the year on a relatively strong note, where the elevated demand levels continue to drive performance. The strong levels of activity and high absorption levels, which have reduced available supply, will continue to support price growth in both Abu Dhabi and Dubai over the remainder of the year. In terms of rental growth, we expect that rental rates in Abu Dhabi will continue to rise, with prime areas set to outperform the market. In Dubai, residential rents will continue to increase; however, not at the same rate that we have been seeing to date, and we expect that the rate of change will diminish in the second half of the year.”

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