China’s Inflation Problem? It Has None
Falling prices at the factory gate and subdued increases in the costs of consumer goods contrast with searing inflation in many countries
3 min
SINGAPORE—As Western central banks continue to jack up interest rates in an effort to douse stubbornly high inflation, China faces a growing risk of the opposite problem—deflation.
Prices charged by Chinese factories tumbled in May at their steepest annual pace in seven years, while consumer prices barely budged, fresh signs of the challenges faced by the world’s second-largest economy both at home and abroad.
Economists say the absence of inflationary pressure means China could experience a spell of deflation—a widespread fall in prices—if the economy doesn’t pick up soon.
Persistent deflation tends to throttle growth and can be difficult to escape. While a prolonged period of falling prices probably isn’t in the cards, Chinese policy makers will nonetheless need to do more to stave off that risk and get the economy motoring again, economists say, perhaps by trimming interest rates, weakening the currency or offering cash or other spending inducements to households and businesses.
Ting Lu, chief China economist at Nomura in Hong Kong, said in a note to clients Friday that he expects local banks to cut key lending rates as soon as next week.
In remarks made at a meeting Wednesday and published by China’s central bank after the release of monthly inflation data Friday, central-bank Gov. Yi Gang said he expects consumer-price inflation to edge up in the second half of the year and exceed 1% in December. He said the People’s Bank of China would use its tools to support the economy and promote employment.
Falling prices in China aren’t necessarily bad news for the global economy, as lower costs to import Chinese goods should help bring down inflation rates that for many economies are still uncomfortably high.
“In a sense, China is already exporting deflation to the world,” said Carlos Casanova, senior Asia economist at Union Bancaire Privée in Hong Kong. That could help ease the pressure on the U.S. Federal Reserve and other central banks that are battling to bring down inflation, he said.
China’s producer prices—what companies charge at the factory gate—fell 4.6% from a year earlier in May, the weakest reading since early 2016 and the eighth straight month of declines.
Consumer prices rose just 0.2%, China’s National Bureau of Statistics said Friday, slightly higher than the 0.1% annual gain recorded in April but still well below the 3% ceiling for annual inflation set by the government and central bank.
In the U.S., consumer-price inflation in April slowed to a 4.9% annual rate, but that was still more than double the Federal Reserve’s 2% goal. In the 20 nations that use the euro, annual inflation was 6.1% in May.
After soaring last year in the wake of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine, prices of crude oil, food and some other commodities have pulled back, partly leading to China’s subdued inflation.
But also behind China’s predicament, which stands in contrast to the experience of most other economies as they emerged from the Covid-19 pandemic, is a shortfall in spending both domestically and from overseas.
Chinese factories are cutting prices because foreigners aren’t buying their goods with the same gusto as before central banks started ratcheting up borrowing costs. A hoped for consumer spending binge that was supposed to propel growth in China hasn’t materialised. Real estate is in the doldrums, crushing investment.
Western policy makers and economists are exploring whether fat corporate profit margins are stoking inflation in their economies. In China, industrial profits are sinking.
The inflation data adds to a string of disappointing signals on the strength of China’s recovery, which had been expected to power global growth this year after Beijing ditched its draconian Covid controls at the close of 2022.
Chinese exports fell in May from a year earlier, the first annual decline in overseas shipments in three months. Business surveys showed factory activity shrank in May and services-sector activity softened. More than a fifth of young people are unemployed.
Still, most economists think China will meet or exceed the government’s goal of growing the economy by 5% or more this year, given the weak base of comparison with 2022, when sporadic lockdowns in major cities hammered the economy.
Zichun Huang, China economist at Capital Economics, said she doesn’t think China will experience broad deflation and expects consumer price growth to pick up in the coming months thanks to support from policy makers and an improving labor market.
—Grace Zhu in Beijing contributed to this article.
Copyright 2020, Dow Jones & Company, Inc. All Rights Reserved Worldwide. LEARN MORE
Qatar National Bank (QNB) is seeking to raise a $2 billion five-year senior unsecured term loan in the Asian market, according to LSEG’s Loan Connector. The facility, priced at 75 basis points over compounded SOFR, will refinance a $2 billion loan completed in 2023, with signing expected in September.
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Egypt’s annual urban inflation rose to 14.9% in July, up from 14.3% in June, according to CAPMAS. While urban food and beverage prices fell 0.6% month-on-month, they remained 8.0% higher than a year earlier, highlighting persistent inflationary pressures despite signs of easing in monthly food costs.
Central banks’ efforts to keep markets stable may be creating unintended risks. Emergency lending and market backstops have encouraged highly leveraged government bond trades, potentially lowering borrowing costs while increasing financial vulnerabilities that could require further intervention during the next crisis.
4 min
Central banks may be accidentally subsidizing government borrowing through their efforts to prevent a repeat of past market blowups, and policymakers are starting to worry that anticrisis lending facilities could even be interfering with their own monetary policy.
The source of the problem is the switch from central banks being the lender of last resort to, in 2008 and 2020, also being market makers of last resort, ensuring corporate—and government—debt markets keep functioning. During a crisis, support is often essential to prevent a downward spiral that destroys the financial system.
But backstopping markets removes a key risk and encourages more borrowing—especially for the hedge funds that now own trillions of dollars of U.S. Treasurys.
“Ironically, vulnerability is created by mechanisms that were introduced to reduce vulnerability,” said Huw Pill, the Bank of England’s chief economist, one of those growing concerned, in an interview. “So, it’s a bit like a whack-a-mole kind of story.”
Offering either an explicit or implied guarantee that government-funding markets will remain open and liquid means hedge funds have less risk of being unable to finance highly leveraged trades. This is particularly true for the overnight repurchase, or repo, market, where borrowers pledge bonds for cash. The result has been a huge expansion of two popular government bond trades, arbitraging Treasurys or British gilts against bond futures or swaps.
The scale is extraordinary: The Dallas Fed estimates hedge funds ended last year with $2.4 trillion of Treasurys, up from $600 billion a decade earlier. Because the profits on each trade are tiny, hedge funds have to leverage as much as 100 times to get worthwhile returns, creating new risks.
This might sound abstruse. But in 2020, it was the Treasury basis trade blowing up that forced the Fed to intervene. In 2025, signs of trouble in the swap trade pushed President Trump to retreat from his tariff plan.
Pill worries that the reassurance central-bank policy provides bleeds into monetary policy by boosting borrowing. This, in turn, keeps government-debt yields lower than they otherwise would be.
“There’s lots of gilts to be bought,” he says. “How do you support that buying of gilts? You make it attractive. How do you make it attractive? Well, there are some imperfections in the market. So those imperfections create profit opportunities, but they’re not very big. So how do you make them more meaningful? You allow leverage to build up.”
“That’s good for the government because it gets to sell the gilts at a lower [yield] than it otherwise would. It’s good for the financial sector because they’re able to extract these rents effectively. And it’s good for the central bank because the market seems to be liquid and functioning. But all of those things are true until they’re not true.”
When it goes wrong, the more leverage, the worse the problem. And the worse the problem, the more likely it becomes that central banks have to create yet more special tools to address it. That then spurs the next buildup of leverage.
Pill thinks more effort is needed to come up with a modern version of the Bagehot Doctrine. Walter Bagehot, the 19th-century editor of the Economist magazine, summed up the role of the central bank as being to lend to banks freely, against good collateral, at a penalty rate. Access to instant cash helps banks withstand runs. The fact the central bank is offering a backstop should make the run less likely, and shareholders are penalized, through the penalty rate, if it is used.
Tools for saving markets from drying up are more haphazard. In 2020 the Fed, BOE and others just bought lots of government debt to inject liquidity into markets. That worked because, even though quantitative easing is also a monetary policy tool, they also wanted easier money.
Unfortunately, that created what Pill described as a tinderbox, ignited by the energy crisis after Russia invaded Ukraine. The excess money creation from left over from emergency QE then fanned the flames of inflation. This made it much harder to calibrate monetary policy when central banks decided to tighten (although policymakers were also, in my view, far too slow to recognize inflation).
Pill points to the “temporary, targeted” BOE buying of gilts amid the forced selling by leveraged pension funds after Britain’s botched tax-cut plan in September 2022 as a successful model. At a time when the BOE was trying to tighten monetary policy, it intervened in a way that stopped the pension fund selling spiral and stabilized gilts. Yet the central bank maintained tight monetary policy.
Bagehot would recognize the goal: Reduce the encouragement to take risk, known as moral hazard, that offering guarantees in advance creates, but retain the ability to mount a rescue in a crisis.
Unfortunately, much of central banking is going backward on this. Moral hazard is increasing, even for banks. In the 2023 bank bailout, the Fed accepted less-than-full collateral, recognizing Treasury bonds at face value rather than their (much lower) market value.
The emergency rescue facility then became a funding facility that even healthy banks chose to tap—in effect easing monetary policy by the back door and prompting the Fed to tighten the terms before it ended. Something similar could be under way with Japan’s plans to use an emergency Fed loan facility to raise cash to prop up the yen without having to sell its hoard of Treasurys.
I don’t know how to break the cycle of crises needing rescues that lead to more leverage and new crises. And I’m concerned we’re firmly into the added-leverage phase of the latest cycle.
At least central bankers are still thinking about it, even if they don’t, so far, have good answers.
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Space42’s first-half results, with revenue up 15% and satellite-to-phone services on standard devices targeted for commercial rollout by the end of 2026, are the kind most space companies globally can’t show, and that’s what makes the regional story worth a closer look
2 min
Most listed space companies around the world are still burning cash in pursuit of the dream, so it says something that Space42, the Middle East’s flagship space firm just reported a USD$6.3 billion contracted backlog and more than USD$1.1 billion in the bank. Space42’s first-half results, with revenue up 15% and satellite-to-phone services on standard devices targeted for commercial rollout by the end of 2026, are the kind most space companies globally can’t show, and that’s what makes the regional story worth a closer look according to Josh Gilbert, Lead Analyst at etoro.
SpaceX’s first result as a listed company showed revenue of USD$7.8 billion, up 92% on a year ago, yet the company still lost more than USD$500 million and spent an extraordinary USD$18 billion on capex in a single quarter. The shares fell despite beating expectations, and that reaction says plenty about whom investors have patience for, because markets this year have been rewarding companies that can show cash coming back and punishing those that only spend it.
Space still makes up a small sliver of portfolios, although SpaceX as the poster child has likely changed that. Valuations are the sticking point for space companies, because most are spending aggressively ahead of profits and only a handful trade on a meaningful earnings multiple, so traditional metrics won’t tell you much. What they miss is how fast the picture can change, because in this sector one big contract or breakthrough can rewrite earnings expectations within a couple of quarters.
That’s exactly why the model in this region stands out. Contracts that run 15 years or more with a government counterparty are almost unheard of in this industry, and they give investors something the rest of the sector can’t, which is knowing where the revenue comes from years in advance. Space still gets talked about as tomorrow’s story, but the technology already sits behind navigation, telecommunications, logistics and agriculture. It’s the companies monetizing it that are young. This is where the comparison to AI firms fits: with heavy investment meeting enormous growth expectations, space companies are just a few years behind where the leading AI names are now.
Investors should judge these companies the same way they’d judge any other business, on free cash flow, backlog and margins, because launch headlines grab attention but tell you very little about who actually makes money. This is a sector with a long way to run, and the companies worth backing will be the ones proving it in the numbers, not on the launchpad.
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The UAE and Saudi Arabia led MENA’s outbound investment in H1 2026, completing 119 deals worth $25.5 billion, according to EY. Overall, the region recorded 390 M&A deals worth $46.7 billion, while the UAE remained the top destination for inbound investment.
< 1 min
The UAE and Saudi Arabia remained the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region’s most active outbound investors in the first half of 2026, according to global consultancy EY.
Outbound investment remained resilient, with 119 deals worth $25.5 billion completed during the first half of this year, the consultancy said in its MENA M&A Insights report.
Major transactions included Dubai Aerospace Enterprise’s acquisition of Macquarie AirFinance for $7 billion, and Saudi Electronic Gaming Holding Company’s acquisition of Shanghai Moonton Technology for $6 billion.
Domestic deal value reached $16 billion – more than four times the value recorded in the first half of 2026 compared to the same period last year – driven by several large transactions across real estate, power and utilities and technology.
However, merger and acquisition (M&A) deals in MENA fell in the first half of 2026 due to geopolitical developments. The region recorded 390 M&A deals worth $46.7 billion in the first half of 2026, compared to 434 deals worth $58.8 billion a year ago.
May and June accounted for 61% of Q2 2026 deal volume and 79% of deal value. Large transactions valued above $500 million contributed nearly three-quarters of total deal value between March and June.
The UAE continued to lead as MENA’s preferred destination for inbound investment, supported by its diversified economy and business-friendly regulatory environment.
Sovereigns such as the UAE’s Abu Dhabi Investment Authority and Mubadala, as well as Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund, continued to play a pivotal role in shaping M&A activity across the region, the report said.
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Qatar National Bank (QNB) is seeking to raise a $2 billion five-year senior unsecured term loan in the Asian market, according to LSEG’s Loan Connector. The facility, priced at 75 basis points over compounded SOFR, will refinance a $2 billion loan completed in 2023, with signing expected in September.
< 1 minQatar National Bank (QNB) has returned to the Asian loan market to raise a $2 billion five-year senior unsecured term loan, less than a year after securing a smaller facility, according to LSEG’s Loan Connector.
DBS Bank, HSBC, Industrial and Commercial Bank of China, Mizuho Bank and Standard Chartered have been mandated as lead arrangers and bookrunners for the bullet facility, which carries a margin of 75bp over compounded SOFR.
Mandated lead arrangers committing $200 million or more will receive an upfront fee of 90bp, while lead arrangers providing between $125 million and $199 million will earn 80bp.
Arrangers contributing $75 million to $124 million are offered 70bp, managers committing $50 million to $74 million will receive 60bp, and participants with smaller commitments are entitled to a fee of 55bp.
An additional 5bp early-bird fee is available to lenders that commit by August 28.
A virtual bank meeting is scheduled for August 17, with commitments due by September 11 and signing expected on September 23.
The proceeds will be used to refinance a $2 billion three-year loan completed in October 2023.
QNB’s last syndicated loan was a $1.5 billion five-year facility raised in October 2025 and was priced at 60bp over SOFR.
Qatar’s largest bank by market capitalisation, QNB is rated Aa2/A /A (Moody’s/S&P/Fitch).
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RISE Global acts as the national economic platform to reinforce confidence at speed and scale, demonstrate Dubai’s collective market strength and translate D33 into investable opportunity. In other words, where the entire country speaks with one voice to global capital.
2 minRISE Global is the global platform for investment capital and the future of urban development. RISE Global acts as the national economic platform to reinforce confidence at speed and scale, demonstrate Dubai’s collective market strength and translate D33 into investable opportunity. In other words, where the entire country speaks with one voice to global capital.
📅 Dates: 13-14 Oct 2026
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- 5,000+ visitors
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Join us in Dubai World Trade Centre, for RISE Global from 13 – 14 October 2026. RISE Global is the global platform for investment capital and the future of urban development. RISE Global acts as the national economic platform to reinforce confidence at speed and scale, demonstrate Dubai’s collective market strength and translate D33 into investable opportunity. In other words, where the entire country speaks with one voice to global capital. The UAE projects one credible global story of strength, resilience, delivery and long-term “investability”.
What is the impact of RISE Global?
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This powerful and strategic platform for the real estate ecosystem to converge to define the cities of tomorrow. RISE Global is where the world’s real estate and infrastructure government leaders, institutional investors, forward-thinking architects and designers, innovators and industry powerhouses come together to forge the future of urban development. With $15T+ in AUM represented, 5,000+ high-profile leaders, 1,000+ bilateral meetings, 250+ global institutional investors and 100+ world-class speakers from 40+ countries, RISE is the #1 platform for driving global capital investment forward.
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Egypt’s annual urban inflation rose to 14.9% in July, up from 14.3% in June, according to CAPMAS. While urban food and beverage prices fell 0.6% month-on-month, they remained 8.0% higher than a year earlier, highlighting persistent inflationary pressures despite signs of easing in monthly food costs.
< 1 minEgypt’s annual urban consumer inflation accelerated to 14.9% in July from 14.3% in June, state statistics agency CAPMAS said.
* Nationwide annual inflation rose 13.0% in July compared with July 2025.
* Urban food and beverage prices fell 0.6% month-on-month in July, but were 8.0% higher than a year earlier.
* Nationwide, the all-items index rose 0.1% from June, with food and beverages slipping 0.1% month-on-month.
* Rural annual inflation reached 11.2% in July, with rural food and beverages up 7.8% year-on-year.
* Thirteen analysts polled by Reuters between July 29 and August 6 had forecast a range of 14.6% to 16.3%.
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Gold miners are emerging as a compelling way to navigate market uncertainty, with analysts pointing to strong cash flows, attractive valuations and rising profit margins. As gold prices stabilize above US$4,000 an ounce, mining stocks could offer investors both downside protection and long-term upside.
3 min
Gold is one of the market’s go-to hedges in rocky times. Don’t forget that gold miners’ stocks are too.
The stock market’s gains in 2026 belie the rocky macroeconomic picture: elevated inflation, heightened geopolitical tensions, and jitters about the artificial-intelligence trade. That backdrop, in theory, should be the time for gold to shine. Instead, the price of the yellow metal has tumbled more than 5% so far, after last year’s blistering 65% rally. In part, the U.S. dollar’s recovery has stymied gold, which benefited from the greenback’s weakness in 2025.
Even with the precious metal’s recent weakness, gold mining stocks could be the best way to profit from this year’s uncertainty.
Gold miners “are a valuable hedge against macro risks that would likely be damaging for equities,” BCA Research’s Noah Weisberger and Rishabh Shah wrote this week.
Concerns about the Federal Reserve’s next moves to tackle inflation, the increasingly crowded AI trade, and steep valuations for tech stocks are just some of the drivers that could help gold’s price get on even footing— and lead to even bigger gains for miner stocks.
These stocks’ prices tend to outpace gold’s moves, because the companies have fixed operational costs. So when gold’s price rallies, their profit margins soar, and vice versa. For instance, the VanEck Gold Miners GDX +7.39% exchange-traded fund has fallen 11% this year as the metal has slumped.
Now, gold’s price just needs to stabilize to help miners’ stocks take off, and that seems to be happening. The precious metal has recently found support above the $4,000 level, and has stuck in a narrow range since the end of June. But its price rose ever so slightly in July, ending a four-month losing streak for the metal. Technical analysis also suggests that gold is due for a comeback.
Barron’s recently wrote that the pullbacks for both gold miners and the metal itself are overdone. Senior technical analyst Doug Busch noted that the VanEck ETF is on the “verge of a breakout” and has the potential to hit $11o in early 2027, up more than 40% from its current price.
Gold miners also have more than their role as a market hedge going for them. Their fundamentals are solid, too, says Chris Mancini, portfolio co-manager of the Gabelli Gold Fund.
“Precious metals miners are generating substantial amounts of free cash flow given profit margins of over $2,000 per ounce, and are returning this cash to shareholders through buybacks and dividends,” he said in an email.
“Buying the miners is a cheap way to get exposure to the price of gold,” he added. His fund owns Newmont NEM +6.71%, a Barron’s stock pick last year, and Agnico Eagle Mines as top holdings, as well as miners Northern Star Resources, Endeavour Mining, and Kinross Gold K+8.59%.
Miners are better businesses than they used to be, the BCA team added.
“Capex is more disciplined, margins are high and rising…and they are largely independent of the AI story,” Weisberger, BCA’s head of equities, and Shah, a senior analyst, wrote.
That last part is key. AI is disrupting the software industry and many other services and information-oriented businesses, and investors have piled into AI stocks. But ChatGPT, Claude, Grok, and other large-language models aren’t going to replace the need to mine for metals.
“Equity portfolios can benefit from exposure to quality that is uncorrelated to AI risk, and gold miners fit the bill,” the BCA team said.
They recommend that investors buy the VanEck Gold Miners ETF, which owns top miners such as Agnico, Barrick Mining ABX +7.24%, and Newmont.
An important bonus for big gold miners’ stocks is that their valuations are attractive after the gold’s pullback, too. The VanEck ETF is now trading at just a little more than nine times next year’s earnings estimates. That’s a big discount to its five-year average price-to-earnings ratio of 14, according to FactSet.
What’s more, the ETF is currently valued at a more than 50% discount to the S&P 500 SPX -0.17%, which is trading for about 19 times earnings estimates for 2027. Mining stocks have typically traded at just a 25% discount to the broader market over the past five years. So there is significant upside for the group if valuations move back toward normal levels.
One factor that complicates mining stocks as a market hedge, of course, is if stocks bounce back, which has been the case so far in August.
But both the market and economic outlooks remain cloudy, and investors remain nervous about the Fed’s next moves and AI stocks. Gold miners should do just fine, even if the anxious mood on Wall Street persists.
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Limassol will host WIKIEXPO CYPRUS 2026 on 6 November 2026, bringing together more than 5,000 professionals, 50+ speakers, and 50+ exhibitors from over 30 countries. The event will spotlight the latest trends in forex, fintech, payments, crypto, and AI, offering a platform for industry leaders, innovators, and investors to explore emerging technologies, share insights, and build strategic partnerships.
3 min
Mark your calendars for WIKIEXPO CYPRUS 2026, taking place on November 6, 2026 at the prestigious Parklane, a Luxury Collection Resort & Spa. As one of Europe’s most influential gatherings for the foreign exchange and fintech services industry, the event is set to welcome over 5,000 professionals, 50+ distinguished speakers, and 50+ exhibitors from more than 30 countries.
This year’s expo places a strategic focus on the core pillars that drive today’s financial markets, with dedicated tracks on:
- Foreign Exchange & Liquidity Solutions – Institutional FX, prime brokerage, liquidity aggregation, and risk management
- Regulatory & Compliance Frameworks – Navigating MiCA, CySEC regulations, AML/KYC, and cross-border licensing
- Next-Generation Payments – Cross-border remittance, digital wallets, instant settlement, and merchant services
- Platform Building & Brokerage Technology – Trading platforms (MT4/5, cTrader, proprietary), white-label solutions, CRM, and infrastructure providers
- Fintech Service Providers – B2B technology vendors, data analytics, AI-driven trading tools, and compliance automation
- Crypto & DeFi – On-chain liquidity, tokenized assets, smart contract-based settlement, and the convergence of crypto with traditional FX
- AI in Finance – AI-powered trading algorithms, predictive analytics, fraud detection, and regulatory technology (RegTech)
Set in the heart of Cyprus – a global hub for forex brokers, payment processors, and regulatory technology firms – this expo offers an unrivalled platform for service providers, brokers, IBs, liquidity providers, payment gateways, and platform vendors to connect, showcase innovations, and forge cross-border partnerships. Backed by CySEC’s stringent oversight and EU-wide passporting privileges, this jurisdiction empowers firms to scale operations across the European Economic Area, all while staying ahead of the crypto and AI waves reshaping the industry.
Attendees will gain actionable insights through keynote addresses, panel debates, fireside chats, and dedicated networking sessions, all designed to address the real-world challenges and opportunities facing the FX, fintech, and digital asset ecosystem.
“Cyprus has long been recognized as a gateway between Europe, Asia, and Africa, with a robust regulatory environment and a thriving community of financial technology providers,” said Loki So, COO of WikiEXPO. “Our Cyprus edition is uniquely tailored to the FX, liquidity, payments, and platform-building sectors – but we also recognize that crypto and AI are no longer optional. We aim to bring together the entire value chain of service providers – from traditional brokers to cutting-edge DeFi protocols and AI-driven analytics firms – under one roof to drive responsible innovation and sustainable growth in this dynamic region.”
How to Participate:
The Only Official Free Registration Link:
https://www.wikiexpo.com/Cyprus/2026/en/?c=7iil3INU
Sponsorship & Exhibiting Opportunities:
Secure a prime booth or exclusive sponsorship package – ideal for liquidity providers, trading platform vendors, payment solution companies, regulatory tech firms, Web3 infrastructure projects, and AI fintech startups.
Contact Name: Loki So
Email Address: loki@wikiexpo.com
Telegram: https://t.me/Loki_wikiexpo_coo
LinkedIn ID: https://www.linkedin.com/in/loki-so-33826318a/
About WikiEXPO
WikiEXPO is a global hub for financial innovation, uniting visionaries and leaders in fintech, forex, and crypto industries. With a worldwide community of over two million followers, our iconic summits are held in global capitals including Dubai, Hong Kong, Cyprus, Bangkok, Singapore, Sydney, South Africa, and beyond. From cutting-edge startups to industry giants, we connect the brightest minds. After six years of rapid development, WikiEXPO has become one of the world’s largest and most influential event platforms in the forex, fintech, and digital asset space.
Past Speakers at WikiEXPO (selected):
- Dominic Williams – Founder & Chief Scientist, DFINITY Foundation
- Evan Auyang Chi-chun – Group President, Animoca Brands
- Justin Sun – Founder, TRON; Member, HTX Global Advisory Board
- Reeve Collins – Co-Founder, Tether
- Cynthia Wu – Founding Partner and CCO, BIT
- Livio Weng – CEO & Executive Director, Bitfire
- Kevin Lee – CCO, Gate
- Mario Nawfal – CEO, IBC Group
- Yiannos Ashiotis – Board Chairman – Revolut Digital Assets Europe
- John Riggins – Partner, BTC Inc
- Loretta Joseph – Policy Consultant, The Commonwealth; Chairman, ADFSAC
- Vít Jedlička, President, Free Republic of Liberland
- Bugra Celik – Director, Digital Assets | Global Private Banking & Wealth, HSBC
- Hassan Ahmed – Country Director, Coinbase Singapore
We look forward to welcoming you to Limassol this November – where the FX, fintech, and crypto communities converge to shape the future of finance!
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Following the devastation of recent flooding, experts are urging government intervention to drive the cessation of building in areas at risk.
Saudi Arabia’s non-oil private sector continued to expand, marking a fourth straight month of growth despite a slight slowdown. Strong domestic demand supported business activity, while regional tensions and higher freight costs weighed on exports. Businesses remain optimistic that solid economic fundamentals and diversification efforts will sustain growth in the months ahead.
< 1 min
Saudi Arabia’s non-oil private sector growth eased slightly in July but remained in expansion territory for a fourth consecutive month, supported by rising order volumes despite a decline in export demand, a business survey showed.
The Riyad Bank Saudi Arabia Purchasing Managers’ Index registered 53.1 in July, down marginally from 53.3 in June, but holding well above the neutral threshold of 50.
Nearly 19% of firms reported an increase in output, compared with only 4% that saw a decline. New order volumes supported growth though the pace eased from June.
Regional conflict weighed on export orders. “Export orders declined for the fifth consecutive month as elevated freight costs and regional tensions weighed on international trade, although the pace of contraction eased compared with previous months,” the report said.
Input cost inflation eased to a four-month low but remained sharp relative to historical trends.
Companies continued to pass higher costs on to customers, leading to another sharp rise in output prices, though the increase was slightly softer than in June.
Staff expenses climbed at the strongest rate in five months, reflecting salary increases in response to inflationary pressures.
“The sustained expansion in domestic demand, resilient business activity and improving supply side conditions reinforce our expectation that Saudi Arabia’s non-oil economy will maintain solid growth momentum through the second half of the year, supported by strong underlying economic fundamentals and continued progress in economic diversification,” said Naif Al-Ghaith, Chief Economist at Riyad Bank
Non-oil private sector firms added jobs in July, but well below the levels seen in early 2026.
Looking ahead, business confidence for the year ahead softened from June’s five-month peak, with just 8% of non-oil private sector firms expecting output to grow.
New research suggests that bonuses make employees feel more like a mere cog in a wheel.
Arab Bank Group reported a 7% increase in net profit to $571 million in the first half of 2026, supported by higher fee and commission income. The lender also expanded its balance sheet, with total assets rising to $80.3 billion and customer deposits reaching $58.8 billion.
2 min
Jordan-based Arab Bank Group has reported solid results for the first half of 2026 which rose to $571 million, up 7% over last year’s figure of $535.3 million, as the growth in fee and commission income helped offset a challenging regional and global operating environment.
Announcing the results the six-months period ended June 30, 2026, Arab Bank said the Group maintained its strong capital base with a total equity of $13.5 billion.
Its total assets increased 7% to $80.3 billion, while loans grew 6% to $42.1 billion.
The customer deposits rose 6% to $58.8 billion, while total equity stood at $13.5 billion.
On the solid results, Chairman Sabih Masri said the Group’s sustained positive performance in the first half achieved despite continuing regional and global uncertainty, reflects the strength of the bank’s strategy and the soundness of its fundamentals.
Masri said the bank continues to monitor regional development with vigilance and discipline, managing risk proactively while preserving the strength of its balance sheet and delivering solid, sustainable returns to shareholders.
He pointed out that the lender continued to monitor geopolitical developments closely while maintaining disciplined risk management and a strong balance sheet.
The bank, he said, was expanding its presence in key markets, including the resumption of operations in Syria, the launch of an Islamic banking window in Algeria and the continued development of its franchise in Iraq.
It is also strengthening its wealth management business through its Swiss unit, he added.
CEO Randa Sadik said revenue increased 3% in the first half, supported by strong growth in non-funded income, contributing to the increase in net profit.
The bank’s balance sheet continued to expand, reflecting its focus on financial strength and sustainable growth, she stated.
“The Group has maintained solid balance sheet growth of 7%, reflecting its ongoing focus on financial strength and sustainable growth. This performance underscores the Group’s commitment to delivering consistent value and supporting long-term business objectives,” she added.
The sports-car maker delivered 279,449 cars last year, down from 310,718 in 2024.
Zero income tax. No capital gains. Golden Visa pathways for investors. The UAE’s financial architecture is unlike anywhere else on earth.
The creators are navigating this ecosystem for millions of followers across the Gulf.
5 min
The financial questions being asked in Dubai and Doha are unlike those being asked anywhere else. Zero income tax. No capital gains levy. A Golden Visa scheme that is reshaping who chooses the Gulf as a permanent financial base. A crypto regulatory framework more coherent than most Western equivalents. DIFC and QFC sitting at the exact midpoint between the European and Asian trading day, managing capital from more than two hundred nationalities. The finance creators who navigate this environment for audiences of millions are not explaining a generic financial system. They are mapping one of the most deliberately advantaged economic architectures on earth.
This is not a ranking of the most followed accounts in the Middle East. It is a ranking of the voices most useful to the people actually living and building wealth in Dubai and Doha — expats encountering a tax-free salary for the first time, GCC nationals navigating Islamic finance requirements alongside global investment options, and international entrepreneurs who chose the Gulf specifically for what its financial structure makes possible.
| Dubai and Doha’s finance creators serve the most internationally complex financial demographic in the world. No generic personal finance content has ever been sufficient for this audience. |
1. Ahmed Sanad – @a.sanad.a · Investing & Financial Education, UAE
Ahmed Sanad is one of the UAE’s most recognizable investment educators, creating Arabic-first content around stock markets, long-term investing and Shariah-compliant wealth building. His videos simplify complex financial concepts, making investing more accessible to younger audiences across the Gulf. His audience represents a growing segment of first-time investors actively participating in the UAE’s expanding capital markets.
2. CA Anamika Rana – @ca_anamikarana · Finance & Tax Education, UAE
CA Anamika Rana combines accounting expertise with practical financial education, covering investing, taxation, global markets and personal finance through accessible digital content. As a chartered accountant, she focuses on helping professionals and entrepreneurs make informed financial decisions. Her audience includes business owners, expatriates and professionals navigating financial planning in the UAE.
3. Kartik Iyer – @financial.wingman · Personal Finance & Investing, UAE
Kartik Iyer creates educational content focused on investing, wealth creation and financial literacy, translating complex financial principles into straightforward advice for everyday investors. His background as a CFA Charterholder adds credibility to content covering markets, portfolios and long-term investing. His audience largely consists of young professionals beginning their investment journey across the UAE.
4. Sophia Bhatti – @sophiabwealth · Wealth Management, UAE
Sophia Bhatti shares insights into wealth management, investment strategy and long-term financial planning, drawing on years of experience advising high-net-worth individuals and families. Her content focuses on preserving and growing wealth rather than short-term market trends. Her audience includes affluent professionals, business owners and investors seeking sophisticated financial advice.
5. Keren Bobker – @financialuae · Personal Finance, UAE
Keren Bobker has become one of the UAE’s most trusted voices in personal finance through years of financial advisory work and regular commentary on household money management. Her content addresses budgeting, retirement planning, debt management and broader financial wellbeing. Her audience spans working professionals, families and expatriates seeking practical financial guidance tailored to life in the UAE.
6. Sandeep Jadwani – @sandeep_investmentadvisor · Investment Advisory, UAE
Sandeep Jadwani produces content centered on investment strategy, portfolio management and market trends, leveraging decades of experience in financial advisory services. His commentary frequently explores macroeconomic developments and their implications for investors. His audience includes experienced investors, executives and wealth-conscious professionals throughout the UAE.
7. William Jones – @will_investment_advisor · Investing & Wealth Creation, UAE
William Jones focuses on helping individuals build long-term wealth through disciplined investing and financial education. His content covers investment principles, financial independence and strategies for creating sustainable wealth over time. His audience primarily consists of professionals and aspiring investors looking to strengthen their financial future.
8. Wali Khan – @wali_2k · Personal Finance, UAE
Wali Khan creates educational content designed for younger professionals, covering budgeting, investing, productivity and financial discipline. His approachable style makes personal finance more accessible for audiences beginning their wealth-building journey. His community reflects a digitally native generation increasingly focused on financial independence and smarter money management.
9. Maria Jameel – @investmentwithmj · Investment & Wealth, UAE
Maria Jameel shares investment-focused content centered on wealth creation, financial opportunities and long-term portfolio growth. Her educational approach encourages individuals to make informed financial decisions while exploring different investment strategies. Her audience includes aspiring investors, entrepreneurs and professionals interested in expanding their investment knowledge.
10. Luiz Claudio – @iamcryptoguy · Crypto & Macro Investing, UAE
Luiz Claudio creates content exploring cryptocurrency markets alongside broader macroeconomic and investment trends. Drawing on more than 15 years of finance experience, he explains digital assets within the wider context of global investing rather than treating crypto as a standalone market. His audience includes technology-focused investors and individuals following alternative asset classes across the UAE.
The finance content ecosystem serving Dubai and Doha has matured significantly — and unevenly. The best creators have evolved from lifestyle-adjacent business commentary into genuine financial education: specific to jurisdiction, calibrated for a financially sophisticated international audience, and consequential for the real decisions their followers make. Kanebridge News ME covers the same territory editorially. These are the ten voices whose audiences it should be in conversation with.
The sports-car maker delivered 279,449 cars last year, down from 310,718 in 2024.
Gold recovered above the US$4,000 mark after last week’s pullback, but analysts say the correction is masking a deeper shift in global demand. While short-term investors have reduced exposure, central banks and long-term buyers—particularly in China—continue to increase their gold holdings, reinforcing gold’s role as a strategic reserve asset.
2 min
Gold has climbed back above the psychologically important US$4,000 level after briefly falling below it last week. While prices remain modestly lower year-to-date and around 25% below January’s record high, the recent correction masks a significant shift in who is selling and who is buying, according to Nagham Hassan, Market Analyst at etoro.
“The recent weakness in gold has been driven primarily by changing interest rate expectations rather than a deterioration in the long-term investment case,” said Hassan. “Higher US real yields and a stronger dollar have weighed on prices, prompting selling from Western investors and futures traders. At the same time, central banks and long-term buyers, particularly in China, have continued accumulating physical gold.”
According to the World Gold Council, global gold ETFs have returned to net outflows, while COMEX open interest has fallen to its lowest level since 2009, highlighting reduced speculative positioning in the market.
However, official demand remains robust. The People’s Bank of China added 15 tonnes of gold in June, marking its largest monthly purchase since October 2023 and extending its buying streak to 20 consecutive months, taking official holdings to 2,346 tonnes.
The World Gold Council’s 2026 Central Bank Survey further reinforces this trend. Nearly 89% of reserve managers expect global central bank gold reserves to increase over the next year, while a record 45% plan to increase their own holdings. Gold has now overtaken US Treasuries as a share of global official reserves, with almost three-quarters of surveyed central banks expecting the US dollar’s share of reserves to continue declining over the next five years.
“This tells us that the de-dollarisation trend remains firmly in place,” Hassan added. “While short-term traders have reduced exposure, long-term institutional buyers continue viewing gold as a strategic reserve asset.”
China signals a growing focus on physical gold
Recent developments in China also point to a changing market structure. Several major Chinese banks, including ICBC, have announced they will discontinue retail paper and leveraged gold trading on the Shanghai Gold Exchange after 24 July 2026, while leaving physical gold ownership unaffected.
“Taken alongside Hong Kong’s continued expansion of physical vault capacity, these developments suggest an increasing emphasis on physical ownership rather than paper exposure,” Hassan explained.
Investor behaviour within China is also evolving. Chinese equity ETFs have experienced larger outflows than gold ETFs, while the Huaan Yifu Gold ETF has become China’s largest exchange-traded fund, overtaking the CSI 300 ETF for the first time.
Technical picture remains mixed
For active traders, Hassan notes that gold remains in a corrective phase.
“Gold continues to trade below a declining trendline while forming lower highs. The immediate support zone lies between US$3,958 and US$3,896. Holding this range could support a rebound, while a sustained break below would expose stronger support around US$3,513.”
On the upside, she says the first key resistance remains the descending trendline, followed by the 200-day moving average near US$4,493, which would need to be reclaimed to improve the medium-term outlook.
Long-term demand remains intact
Despite near-term volatility, Hassan believes the underlying structural story for gold remains positive.
“The current correction reflects changing expectations around interest rates more than changing conviction in gold itself. While Western investors have reduced exposure, central banks continue accumulating physical bullion at record levels, and Chinese investors are increasingly favouring physical ownership. The composition of gold buyers is changing, and that shift could prove more important than today’s price movements.”
New research suggests that bonuses make employees feel more like a mere cog in a wheel.
Kuwait’s annual inflation rate rose 2.19% in June, driven by higher prices for food, transport, healthcare, education, clothing, and other consumer goods, according to official data. Food and beverages saw the largest increase at 5.55%, while miscellaneous goods and services climbed 5.8%.
< 1 min
Kuwait’s consumer price index (CPI), a key measure of inflation, increased by 2.19% year-on-year at the end of June, driven by higher prices across several main expenditure groups, official data showed on Monday.
The Central Statistical Bureau (CSB) said the annual inflation rate was mainly attributed to increases in the prices of food, healthcare, clothing, education, and miscellaneous goods and services.
According to the data, carried by KUNA, the food and beverages group recorded the highest annual increase, rising 5.55% compared with June 2025, while tobacco and cigarette prices remained unchanged.
The clothing and footwear index rose 0.89% year-on-year, while housing services increased 0.16%. Prices for household furnishings and maintenance climbed 1.11%, and the healthcare index advanced 1.03%.
The transport group posted a notable annual increase of 4.83%, while communications prices rose 1.03%. Recreation and culture recorded a 1.13% increase, and education prices were up 1.02%.
The CSB added that restaurant and hotel prices increased by 0.22% annually, while miscellaneous goods and services registered a 5.8% rise.
New research suggests that bonuses make employees feel more like a mere cog in a wheel.
Second-quarter earnings are beating expectations at one of the fastest rates in years, with major banks leading the way. But as markets set a higher bar, company outlooks are proving just as important as financial results. While strong guidance is rewarding stocks, cautious forecasts from companies like Citigroup and IBM have triggered sharp market reactions, highlighting a growing focus on future growth over past performance.
2 min
The second-quarter earnings season has begun with expectations at their highest level in years. Analysts expect S&P 500 profits to grow around 23.6% from a year ago. What makes that unusual is that analysts normally trim their forecasts as a quarter unfolds. This time they raised them, and more companies issued upbeat guidance than at any point in a decade.
The early results are clearing that bar. Nearly nine in ten of the first companies to report have beaten their earnings forecasts. FactSet’s model, based on how reporting seasons typically unfold, suggests actual growth could land near 29%, the strongest since late 2021.
Nagham Hassan, Market Analyst at eToro, said: “This earnings season is showing that beating estimates alone is no longer enough. Expectations have been raised significantly, meaning investors are placing far greater weight on what management says about the quarters ahead. Markets are increasingly rewarding confidence and future growth, rather than simply strong historical results.”
The banks opened the season strongly. JPMorgan, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, Citigroup and Goldman Sachs all beat estimates, with Goldman delivering the strongest surprise. Trading revenues benefited from heightened market volatility following geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, while investment banking continued to gain momentum amid record levels of merger and acquisition activity. Softer-than-expected US inflation data also supported investor sentiment, helping shares of Goldman Sachs and JPMorgan move higher following their results.
Citigroup, however, highlighted how sensitive markets have become to forward guidance. Despite posting its strongest quarterly revenue in a decade and comfortably beating expectations, the stock declined after management maintained its full-year profitability target of 10–11%, despite already generating a 13% return on equity during the quarter.
“Citigroup’s reaction demonstrates that guidance is now driving share price performance more than the earnings beat itself. When expectations are already high, investors need reassurance that strong performance can continue.”
IBM illustrated the same theme from the opposite direction. The company narrowly missed expectations in its preliminary results and saw its shares fall sharply after management said customers had accelerated hardware purchases ahead of expected price increases, leaving less spending available for its mainframe business.
The impact extended well beyond IBM. Shares of Accenture, Salesforce, ServiceNow and Adobe also came under pressure as investors questioned whether higher spending on hardware could begin weighing on enterprise software budgets. While some of those stocks recovered part of their losses, the market is still assessing whether the weakness reflects a company-specific issue or a broader shift in technology spending.
Looking ahead, the energy sector is expected to deliver the strongest earnings growth this quarter, supported by oil prices remaining above last year’s levels. Technology is forecast to follow, driven largely by semiconductor companies. Meanwhile, the Magnificent Seven are still expected to outpace the broader market, although by a much narrower margin than in previous quarters, contributing to increased investor interest in sectors such as financials and healthcare.
“The busiest weeks of earnings season are still ahead, but the early pattern is already clear. Companies need to do more than outperform forecasts—they need to convince investors that momentum will continue. In this environment, outlooks are proving just as important as the numbers themselves.”
Two coming 2027 models – the first of the “Neue Klasse” cars coming to the U.S. early next year – have been revealed.
The IMF has praised the UAE’s economic resilience following its latest consultation visit, highlighting the country’s strong financial system, effective policy response, and ability to withstand regional geopolitical challenges. The Fund also commended the UAE’s banking sector, fiscal strength, and proactive measures that continue to support economic stability and investor confidence.
3 min
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) staff team concluded its visit to the UAE, which took place from 7th to 16th July 2026.
The visit included discussions on the latest economic and financial developments, the future outlook, and the policy priorities of the relevant authorities, as well as preparations for the 2026 Article IV Consultation Mission.
Khaled Mohamed Balama, Governor of the Central Bank of the UAE (CBUAE) and Governor for the UAE at the IMF, emphasised the importance of the consultations in strengthening communication, exchanging views on the latest economic and financial developments in the UAE, and discussing priorities of mutual interest during the meeting His Excellency chaired with the IMF staff team.
Balama said, “These consultations provide an important platform for strengthening our existing cooperation with the IMF and exchanging views on the latest developments and future priorities. We also value the close cooperation among the relevant entities in the UAE and remain committed to reinforcing monetary and financial stability, while strengthening the financial system’s preparedness and capacity to keep pace with the regional and global changes and developments. The positive outcomes of the visit reaffirm the resilience of the UAE economy and the soundness of its financial sector.”
The IMF staff team commended the notable resilience demonstrated by the UAE economy amid geopolitical developments in the Middle East, supported by sound economic fundamentals, ample buffers, in addition to swift response and targeted support measures.
Said Bakhache, Head of the IMF staff team, said, “The UAE economy has demonstrated significant resilience amid the geopolitical conflict in the Middle East. Sound fundamentals, ample policy buffers, advanced preparedness, and a swift policy response have contained the overall impact of the shock. The authorities’ timely and well-targeted support measures have helped preserve financial stability, safeguard essential supply chains, support affected sectors and households, and sustain market confidence, underscoring the UAE’s institutional capacity to navigate a major external shock.”
The staff team confirmed that the UAE banking sector maintains strong levels of capital and liquidity, with credit continuing to grow, supported by the robust financial positions established by banks ahead of the regional developments.
The staff team also highlighted the role of the CBUAE’s “Proactive Financial Institution Resilience Package”, launched in mid-March, in supporting financial sector stability, enhancing the preparedness of financial institutions, and enabling them to continue their operations and deliver services efficiently.
The staff team noted that the resilience of trade, aviation and logistics activities, together with the continued strength of domestic demand, supported economic activity and limit the impact of regional developments. The staff team also expects the fiscal balance to remain in surplus, supported by higher oil prices, a forward-looking approach to budgeting and strong policymaking, while low levels of public debt provide ample fiscal space.
The CBUAE led the national working group responsible for the visit, managed strategic coordination with federal and local entities, and prepared the work programme.
In preparation for the visit, the CBUAE organised a workshop for the relevant entities, during which the objectives of the consultations were presented, thereby enhancing the entities’ preparedness and ensuring coordinated participation.
The staff team’s visit to the CBUAE also included a tour of the Cybersecurity Operations Centre, where it was briefed on the CBUAE’s cybersecurity framework and the mechanisms used to leverage artificial intelligence to enhance operational efficiency, support risk management and develop institutional capabilities.
At the conclusion of the visit, Khaled Mohamed Balama chaired the closing meeting of the staff team, during which the key outcomes of the meetings were reviewed and the latest developments were discussed.
He directed that the existing cooperation with the IMF be continued, coordination among national entities be strengthened, and the outcomes of the visit to support the strength and competitiveness of the UAE’s economic and financial ecosystem.
The sports-car maker delivered 279,449 cars last year, down from 310,718 in 2024.
