Beyond Oil: How Trade, Food Security, and E-Commerce Are Reshaping The MENA Region
In this interview, Mr. Hage discusses the evolving trade landscape, the urgent need for food security solutions, and how digital transformation can shape a more sustainable future for the region.
Wed, Mar 12, 2025
4 min
The Middle East and North Africa (MENA) region is experiencing major shifts in trade, food security, and digital commerce. While global trade partnerships have expanded, challenges remain with the region’s reliance on food imports and oil exports. At the same time, e-commerce is playing a growing role in improving food distribution and strengthening economic resilience.
To explore these critical shifts, we speak with Mr. Mohamed Hage OAM, President and National Chairman of the Australia Arab Chamber of Commerce and Industry, co-producer of the report “Transforming Trade: Addressing Food Security and Embracing E-Commerce in the MENA Region.” In this interview, Mr. Hage discusses the evolving trade landscape, the urgent need for food security solutions, and how digital transformation can shape a more sustainable future for the region.
“Transforming Trade: Addressing Food Security and Embracing E-Commerce in the MENA Region,” examines key economic shifts in the region. What are the most significant trends shaping MENA’s trade, food security, and digital economy today?
The research highlights three major themes shaping the region’s economic landscape: the diversification of trade, the persistent challenge of food insecurity, and the rise of e-commerce. While MENA has expanded its trade relationships, particularly with Asia, heavy reliance on oil exports still limits job creation and economic resilience. Food insecurity, exacerbated by climate change, conflicts, and economic instability, remains a pressing concern. Meanwhile, digital transformation is unlocking new economic opportunities and playing a crucial role in food distribution and accessibility. These interconnected factors present both opportunities and vulnerabilities in MENA’s path toward sustainable development.
How has MENA’s trading landscape evolved, and what challenges remain?
Over the last two decades, the region has increasingly shifted its trade focus toward Asia. For example, trade between the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) and Emerging Asia surged from $383 billion in 2021 to $516 billion in 2022, marking a 34.7% increase. This shift reflects a strategy to diversify beyond traditional Western partners.
However, progress remains uneven, as many economies continue to rely heavily on oil exports. This dependence makes MENA vulnerable to global market fluctuations, especially during price downturns, restricting job creation and weakening economic stability.
Another challenge is the region’s limited engagement in high-value industries. Currently, only 4.2% of MENA’s manufactured exports fall into the high-technology category, compared to 24.5% in East Asia. To strengthen its position in global markets, MENA must invest in technology-driven sectors, advanced manufacturing, and research-intensive industries.
Food security remains a major concern across MENA. What are the key factors contributing to this crisis?
MENA’s food security crisis stems from structural challenges, including heavy reliance on imports, climate change, political instability, and economic disparity. Over 50% of the region’s food is imported, leaving it vulnerable to global price fluctuations and supply chain disruptions. Water scarcity and frequent droughts limit agricultural output, making self-sufficiency difficult. Wars in Syria, Yemen, and Libya have further strained food supply chains, leaving millions in hunger. Meanwhile, inflation in Lebanon, Egypt, and Tunisia has significantly reduced purchasing power, worsening food affordability.
The disparities within the region are striking. Wealthier nations like the UAE and Qatar rank among the most food-secure globally due to their ability to source food internationally, while countries facing conflict struggle with severe shortages. Addressing these disparities requires long-term strategies that go beyond emergency food aid, focusing on sustainable agricultural investments and resilient supply chains.
You highlighted in the report that e-commerce is a potential solution to food insecurity. How does digital transformation contribute to solving this issue?
E-commerce presents a transformative opportunity in multiple ways. Digital marketplaces enhance efficiency by connecting suppliers with consumers directly, reducing food waste, and optimizing supply chains. Small and medium enterprises (SMEs) can access larger markets through online platforms, allowing local farmers to sell their produce without reliance on intermediaries. The COVID-19 pandemic accelerated digital adoption, proving that online platforms can sustain food availability even during crises.
Despite its potential, challenges such as logistical inefficiencies, limited payment infrastructure, and consumer trust issues persist. However, with the right investments and policies, e-commerce has the power to reshape MENA’s approach to food security. Governments must focus on improving digital infrastructure, enhancing cybersecurity, and building trust in online transactions to fully unlock the benefits of this digital shift.
What policies or initiatives would help MENA overcome these economic and food security challenges?
Addressing these challenges requires a multi-faceted approach. First, economic diversification must go beyond oil, with stronger investments in technology, manufacturing, and agri-tech. Second, sustainable agriculture should be prioritized through water-efficient farming, controlled-environment agriculture, and renewable energy use in food production. Third, e-commerce infrastructure must be strengthened by improving digital payment systems, logistics, and cybersecurity to build consumer trust. Finally, regional cooperation is crucial—cross-border agreements on shared resources like water management and food trade can help mitigate the impact of climate change and conflicts.
By aligning these strategies with long-term policies, MENA can create a more resilient and sustainable economic framework that reduces its dependence on external markets and strengthens food security.
What is the outlook for MENA’s economic and food security future?
MENA faces both challenges and opportunities in shaping its future. While vulnerabilities persist, digital transformation, trade diversification, and sustainable policies can drive long-term economic resilience. E-commerce, in particular, offers a unique opportunity to modernize food supply chains and promote economic empowerment.
To realize these benefits, MENA must foster greater collaboration between governments, businesses, and international organizations. If executed effectively, these strategies can ensure that the region not only secures its food supply but also thrives in an increasingly digital global economy. The path forward requires investment, innovation, and cooperation, but with the right approach, MENA can achieve long-term economic stability and food security.